Skip to content
Lightning at Sharks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸7
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV The Spot, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the San Jose Sharks 7-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 7-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Raddysh's goal at 4:08 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals were close — TBL 3.4, SJS 3.3; shots on goal were TBL 26, SJS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 22 (.864); Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 4 A), 2. Darren Raddysh (3 G), 3. Pavol Regenda (3 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh3 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    P. Regenda3 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL3144606726
SJSSJS191518322

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(10)
    M. Crozier (8), N. Kucherov (36)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:37
  2. TBL
    D. Raddysh(10)
    N. Kucherov (37), G. Goncalves (9)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:08
  3. TBL
    B. Hagel(19)
    J. Guentzel (24), C. D'Astous (11)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    6:46
  4. SJS
    P. Regenda(3)PPG
    T. Liljegren (5), M. Celebrini (41)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    10:50

2nd period

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(11)PPG
    N. Kucherov (38), J. Guentzel (25)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:49
  2. TBL
    D. James(3)
    O. Bjorkstrand (13)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-1
    3:55
  3. SJS
    P. Regenda(4)
    T. Liljegren (6), J. Skinner (4)
    tip-inxG 0.26win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-2
    9:50
  4. TBL
    N. Kucherov(20)PPG
    O. Bjorkstrand (14), B. Point (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 ptsVideo
    6-2
    14:08
  5. TBL
    D. Raddysh(12)PPG
    N. Kucherov (39), N. Paul (6)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    7-2
    16:53

3rd period

  1. SJS
    P. Regenda(5)
    J. Skinner (5)
    wristxG 0.15Video
    7-3
    16:11

Penalties

TBL 16 PIM·SJS 30 PIM

1st

  • 9:14TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Collin Graf2 min
  • 19:03TBLJ.J. Moser · Roughingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min

2nd

  • 1:21SJSPavol Regenda · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 13:07SJSWilliam Eklund · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 13:07TBLJ.J. Moser · Roughingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 13:07SJSWilliam Eklund · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 15:39SJSRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 15:39SJSRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 15:39SJSZack Ostapchuk · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 15:39TBLJake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 15:39TBLBrandon Hagel · Roughingdrawn by Zack Ostapchuk2 min
  • 15:39SJSBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 15:39TBLJ.J. Moser · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 15:39SJSBarclay Goodrow · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:23SJSDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Gage Goncalves2 min
  • 19:23TBLGage Goncalves · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

3rd

  • 6:13SJSDmitry Orlov · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 9:00TBLYanni Gourde · Slashingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 12:08SJSSam Dickinson · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalTBL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Darren Raddysh, 1st 4:08 — TBL 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.36P. Regenda · Goal · xG 0.27P. Regenda · Goal · xG 0.26A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.21M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.15W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.15P. Regenda · Goal · xG 0.15P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.14P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.14M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.13M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.13P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.11J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.09I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.08C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.07P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.05R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.05W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Iorio · Missed · xG 0.02V. Iorio · Missed · xG 0.02S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.01V. Iorio · Missed · xG 0.01
SJS3 G · 3.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsSJS
3.47 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.64 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.73 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL52%48%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsSJS
26
Shots on goal
22
44%
Faceoffs
56%
3/5
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
30
8
Hits
23
8
Blocked shots
17
19
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD303+130.18110—20:48
51C. D'AstousD011010.06020—20:48
81E. CernakD000000.02122—19:29
71A. CirelliC000000.020003318:08
67D. CarlileD000+110.04010—17:36
38B. HagelL101020.26102—16:58
90J. MoserD000+100.00116—16:57
59J. GuentzelC022010.10012016:56
24M. CrozierD011+110.04200—16:49
20N. PaulL011+110.130003316:38
86N. KucherovR145+220.51100—15:37
37Y. GourdeC000-130.410027015:19
21B. PointC112+220.140006414:44
22O. BjorkstrandR022+130.30000—14:28
29P. HolmbergR000-120.33100—13:36
93G. GoncalvesC011+210.14002013:31
28Z. GirgensonsC000-120.54000013:27
17D. JamesC101+110.180001710:35
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)22193.8643.26+0.2660:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).