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New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV Victory+, MSG·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the New York Rangers 5-3. The Rangers scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 18:02 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 55% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYR 22, ANA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.2 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 19 of 22 (.864). Three stars: 1. Cutter Gauthier (2 G), 2. Ryan Poehling (1 A), 3. Jacob Trouba (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Poehling1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Trouba1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR161917322
ANAANA1521427526

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:00
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:31

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(19)PPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:03
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.23win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:29
  3. ANA
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:02

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    1:01
  2. NYR
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-4
    7:11
  3. ANA
    snapxG 0.62win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:24

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

2nd

  • 1:38NYRAlexis Lafrenière · High stickingdrawn by Drew Helleson2 min
  • 2:31ANABeckett Sennecke · High stickingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 16:55NYRWill Cuylle · Hookingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min

3rd

  • 5:34ANAJackson LaCombe · Holdingdrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min
  • 7:36NYRMatthew Robertson · Holdingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 14:10ANADrew Helleson · Holdingdrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min
  • 15:49ANARyan Poehling · Trippingdrawn by Scott Morrow2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNYR goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 2nd 18:02 — ANA 55% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.62A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.36M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.28J. Viel · Goal · xG 0.23B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.17J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.16C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.16P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.16C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.16M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.15B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.14M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.12D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.07B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.06R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.03J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.01
ANA5 G · 3.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsANA
2.83 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
1.22 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR47%53%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsANA
22
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD101-230.39110—25:31
93M. ZibanejadC011-210.181005823:39
8J. MillerC022-220.570105622:41
10A. PanarinL112-140.23000—21:15
16V. TrocheckC022-120.413106319:50
29M. RobertsonD101-120.07042—19:35
4B. SchneiderD000-200.02120—18:31
60S. MorrowD000020.02110—17:34
17W. BorgenD000000.02100—16:42
94G. PerreaultR000-100.04300—16:31
18U. VaakanainenD000020.08110—16:17
13A. LafrenièreL000010.35202—14:43
42N. LabaC000-100.040003814:22
50W. CuylleL000-200.000125013:06
14T. RaddyshR000010.25110—10:07
78B. OthmannL000-110.08010—09:33
22J. BrodzinskiC000010.08500008:19
39S. CarrickC000000.000005007:32
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Martin(L)25214.8402.83-1.1759:05

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).