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Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers

FinalTV Victory+, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the New York Rangers 4-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cutter Gauthier's goal at 5:51 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were ANA 26, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Cutter Gauthier (2 G), 2. Lukas Dostal (26 saves, .963), 3. Igor Shesterkin (22 saves, .880).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin22 saves, .880

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA091938426
NYRNYR0911305127

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.32win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:18
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:18

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.06win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:51
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.88win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:38
  3. ANA
    4-1
    19:57

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:14ANAJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min

2nd

  • 3:23NYRTaylor Raddysh · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 5:12ANAMikael Granlund · Hookingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 6:51ANAserved by R. Strome · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:38ANAOlen Zellweger · Hookingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min
  • 17:25NYRCarson Soucy · High stickingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

3rd

  • 3:51NYRWill Borgen · Hookingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalANA goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Cutter Gauthier, 3rd 5:51 — ANA 51% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.17U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.13V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.13W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.09T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.08W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.07W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02M. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.00S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 2.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNYR
3.43 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.01 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.91 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA44%56%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
27
31%
Faceoffs
69%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD101+150.72100—28:23
65J. TroubaD011+130.05232—23:22
7R. GudasD000+120.03100—20:49
98P. MintyukovD101+110.14140—20:05
91L. CarlssonC011+130.340005419:49
20C. KreiderL000000.1420010018:24
19T. TerryR000-100.19000—17:55
61C. GauthierL202+151.11200—17:34
64M. GranlundC000010.172122216:29
17A. KillornL011+110.07100—14:56
45B. SenneckeR011010.14100—14:44
77F. VatranoR000-120.112005014:23
23M. McTavishC000000.011001313:21
25R. PoehlingC022+210.19100011:37
51O. ZellwegerD011000.01112—11:27
74I. MooreD000010.02030—10:59
16R. StromeC000+100.000005009:16
44R. JohnstonL011+100.00720—08:40
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)27261.9632.63+1.6359:48

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).