Skip to content
Maple Leafs at Jets
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
3
Final/OTTV NHLN, SN·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime, Max Domi scoring at 3:08. The Maple Leafs came back from two goals down. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Domi's goal at 3:08 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.9 to 3.7; shots on goal were TOR 37, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Dennis Hildeby stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 37 (.892). Three stars: 1. Max Domi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nino Niederreiter (1 G), 3. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Domi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Niederreiter1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR0711021713437
WPGWPG0102711300330

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Iafallo(9)
    L. Stanley (8), V. Namestnikov (4)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:23
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(23)
    G. Vilardi (25)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:59
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(24)
    M. Domi (16), M. Rielly (22)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:22

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(7)
    V. Namestnikov (5), L. Schenn (5)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:28
  2. TOR
    O. Ekman-Larsson(8)
    N. Robertson (13), E. Cowan (8)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:58
  3. TOR
    B. McMann(15)
    O. Ekman-Larsson (22), M. Rielly (23)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:33

Overtime

  1. TOR
    M. Domi(6)
    A. Matthews (16), O. Ekman-Larsson (23)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:08

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:22TORBrandon Carlo · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 6:53TORNick Robertson · High stickingdrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min
  • 9:55WPGJonathan Toews · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min
  • 14:52WPGAlex Iafallo · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

3rd

  • 16:47TORMatthew Knies · High stickingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalTOR goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Max Domi, OT 3:08 — TOR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.27G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.25K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.22A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.21A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.21J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.15J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.14J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.13J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.12G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.09C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02E. Salomonsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.00D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 3.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsWPG
3.74 G
All situations
3 G3.9
3.04 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR47%53%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.52 – 3.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsWPG
37
Shots on goal
30
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
11
23
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD000-110.10110—25:30
95O. Ekman-LarssonD123+410.07320—25:10
28T. StecherD000-140.08020—21:43
34A. MatthewsC112+251.001106221:38
91J. TavaresC000-110.100006919:40
11M. DomiC112+350.56000019:14
23M. KniesL000-210.09102—18:58
44M. RiellyD022010.02000—18:55
25B. CarloD000040.16032—18:39
74B. McMannC101+220.29400016:51
63M. MaccelliL000-110.17200—16:09
55N. RoyC000010.120105013:21
24S. LaughtonC000000.001006213:11
89N. RobertsonL011020.10112—12:27
18S. LorentzC000040.62300011:18
53E. CowanR011+120.16100—10:53
19C. JarnkrokC000-110.01100010:29
51P. MyersD000-210.01200—09:18
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Hildeby(W)30273.9003.94+0.9463:08

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).