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Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MNMT, SCRIPPS·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 11:40 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 28% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 31, WSH 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Sam Bennett (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jakob Chychrun (2 G), 3. Uvis Balinskis (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    J. Chychrun2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    U. Balinskis1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11427210531
WSHWSH0421406224

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:23

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:04
  2. WSH
    J. Carlson (29), N. Dowd (10)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:04
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.36win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:40
  4. FLA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:16

3rd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.64win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:40
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.71Video
    5-2
    19:26

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

2nd

  • 1:14FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 1:14WSHNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 14:31WSHAlex Ovechkin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:22FLAEetu Luostarinen · High stickingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
  • 8:30WSHEthen Frank · Roughingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalFLA goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 2nd 11:40 — FLA 28% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.20E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.18A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.18A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.14A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.13D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.13R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.13A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.09C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.08E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.08R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.07H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.05R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.05A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.04R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.00C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.00B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWSH
4.83 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA64%36%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWSH
31
Shots on goal
24
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
18
15
Giveaways
20
9
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000+110.02000—26:59
5A. EkbladD011+110.01310—26:08
13S. ReinhartC022040.82000022:05
15A. LundellC112020.832007221:19
9S. BennettC123+350.702022720:22
23C. VerhaegheC112+331.06000019:41
77N. MikkolaD011+200.03210—19:21
26U. BalinskisD101+120.04130—19:01
27E. LuostarinenC000+120.09002018:41
10A. GreerL112+220.30200—15:40
17E. RodriguesC000030.320103314:44
2J. PetryD000-100.01110—13:55
11M. SamoskevichR000+110.06100—12:07
22T. BjornfotD000020.20110—12:00
95S. VilmanisL000000.01100—10:49
79C. SchwindtR000-100.00400—07:51
71L. KuninC000-110.201002907:50
70J. BoqvistC000-120.06100007:27
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(W)24222.9172.63+0.6360:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).