Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 11:40 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 28% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 31, WSH 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Sam Bennett (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jakob Chychrun (2 G), 3. Uvis Balinskis (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Bennett1 G, 2 A

- ★★J. Chychrun2 G

- ★★★U. Balinskis1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-013:23
2nd period
1-12:04
1-210:04
2-211:40
3-215:16
3rd period
4-218:40
5-219:26
Penalties
2nd
- 1:14
Sam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
- 1:14
Nic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
- 14:31
Alex Ovechkin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 0:22
Eetu Luostarinen · High stickingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
- 8:30
Ethen Frank · Roughingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sam Bennett, 2nd 11:40 — 28% → 47%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.83 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.6
- 2.82 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.4
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 2.53
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 22
- Hits
- 30
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 15
- Giveaways
- 20
- 9
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















