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Capitals at Panthers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Florida Panthers
▸6
FinalTV MNMT, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 6-3. The Capitals scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Schwindt's goal at 3:05 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were WSH 40, FLA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.8 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 37 of 40 (.925). Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (2 A), 3. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    B. Marchand2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH117010213340
FLAFLA1721239628

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    B. Duhaime(3)
    R. Sandin (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:25
  2. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(4)
    N. Mikkola (3), S. Reinhart (2)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:53

2nd period

  1. FLA
    C. Schwindt(2)
    G. Forsling (8), E. Luostarinen (6)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:05
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(9)PPG
    C. Verhaeghe (6), S. Jones (8)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:41

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Sourdif(2)
    J. Chychrun (8), T. Wilson (8)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:52
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(10)
    A. Lundell (8), E. Luostarinen (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    4:54
  3. FLA
    S. Jones(1)PPG
    B. Marchand (8), A. Lundell (9)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-5
    9:47
  4. WSH
    R. Sandin(2)
    J. Carlson (10)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    12:40
  5. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(3)EN
    B. Marchand (9), A. Lundell (10)
    wristxG 0.46Video
    3-6
    18:30

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:33FLASeth Jones · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

2nd

  • 0:41WSHTom Wilson · Holdingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 11:55WSHJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 14:21WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 6:35WSHNic Dowd · Hookingdrawn by Donovan Sebrango2 min
  • 6:35WSHNic Dowd · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Donovan Sebrango2 min
  • 13:37FLADonovan Sebrango · Holdingdrawn by Ethen Frank2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Schwindt, 2nd 3:05 — FLA 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.46S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.28B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.26E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.20A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.17N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.17S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.12S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.11M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.09M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.06C. Schwindt · Goal · xG 0.06M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sebrango · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01C. Schwindt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA6 G · 3.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsFLA
2.63 G
All situations
5 G3.7
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH39%61%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsFLA
40
Shots on goal
28
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011-230.21000—22:55
38R. SandinD112+150.18210—21:24
6J. ChychrunD011-120.14032—20:18
42M. FehérváryD000-120.07320—19:58
3M. RoyD000+110.02120—19:57
17D. StromeC000-210.020005918:35
43T. WilsonR011-110.2100210018:05
8A. OvechkinL000-230.43100—17:33
72A. BeauvillierR000-130.17000—15:40
21A. ProtasL000000.00000—15:22
34J. SourdifC101+130.245005615:20
9R. LeonardR000-170.41010—15:08
24C. McMichaelL000-100.001004214:53
47D. ChisholmD000030.08020—14:43
22B. DuhaimeL101+110.10020—11:47
29H. LapierreC000010.070003311:41
26N. DowdC000+120.150048610:39
53E. FrankR000+120.08100—09:07
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(L)27225.8153.25-1.7559:23

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).