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Islanders at Flames
NHL

New York Islanders at Calgary Flames

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New York Islanders
2
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV MSGSN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Klapka's goal at 3:04 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYI 30, CGY 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. David Rittich stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.3 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Bahl (2 A), 2. Adam Klapka (1 G, 1 A), 3. Rasmus Andersson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    K. Bahl2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    A. Klapka1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01019111230
CGYCGY143708419

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(10)
    R. Andersson (20), K. Bahl (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:51

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Klapka(5)
    K. Bahl (7), M. Frost (14)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:04
  2. CGY
    J. Kirkland(1)
    R. Lomberg (4), A. Klapka (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    9:50
  3. CGY
    Y. Kuznetsov(4)
    N. Kadri (25), C. Zary (11)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    11:49
  4. NYI
    J. Pageau(8)
    M. Schaefer (18), S. Holmstrom (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:21

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(11)
    C. Ritchie (6), M. Schaefer (19)
    wristxG 0.02Video
    2-4
    17:04

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:00NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 3:31NYIKyle MacLean · Holding the stickdrawn by Hunter Brzustewicz2 min
  • 16:59CGYKevin Bahl · Holdingdrawn by Emil Heineman2 min

3rd

  • 9:14NYIAdam Pelech · High stickingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 18:11CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNYI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Klapka, 2nd 3:04 — CGY 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Wolf · Missed · xG 0.44Y. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.43C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.18A. Klapka · Goal · xG 0.13M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.12J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kirkland · Goal · xG 0.10C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.08M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.04C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.02M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.6 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCGY
3.72 G
All situations
4 G2.6
2.72 G
Even strength
4 G1.1
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI81%19%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.67 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCGY
30
Shots on goal
19
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
9
16
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD022-130.10010—25:35
77T. DeAngeloD000030.11130—23:59
13M. BarzalC000-120.150005721:46
51E. HeinemanL000030.23420—21:44
6R. PulockD000020.13000—20:56
3A. PelechD000-110.05244—19:20
11A. DuclairL000-110.18000—18:20
10S. HolmstromR011000.11010—18:07
44J. PageauC101020.153006417:07
27A. LeeL101-151.0220010016:58
64C. RitchieC011010.231102515:16
29J. DrouinL000+130.50000—15:09
24S. MayfieldD000-200.01100—13:48
49M. ShabanovR000-230.37110—12:47
53C. CizikasC000000.341008912:12
34A. BoqvistD000-100.01000—10:34
32K. MacLeanC000010.0242210009:31
16M. GatcombC000000.03510008:35
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)19154.7891.75-2.2552:16

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).