Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 12:25 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 70% to 81%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.5, PIT 3.7; shots on goal were PHI 34, PIT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Aleksei Kolosov stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 0.9 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Blake Lizotte (1 G), 3. Evgeni Malkin (2 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

- ★★B. Lizotte1 G

- ★★★E. Malkin2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-12:16
0-212:25
2nd period
0-31:16
1-32:17
1-418:29
3rd period
1-53:10
1-64:27
2-610:54
3-617:25
Penalties
1st
- 0:23
Cam York · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
- 3:53
Travis Sanheim · High stickingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
- 6:43
Blake Lizotte · Slashingdrawn by Denver Barkey2 min
- 12:11
Garnet Hathaway · Trippingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 17:34
Jack St. Ivany · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
3rd
- 1:32
Matvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
- 1:32
Matvei Michkov · Fightingdrawn by Blake Lizotte5 min
- 1:32
Blake Lizotte · Fightingdrawn by Matvei Michkov5 min
- 11:40
Kris Letang · Boardingdrawn by Cam York2 min
- 14:00
Tommy Novak · Trippingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Bryan Rust, 1st 12:25 — 70% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.53 G
- All situations
- 6 G3.7
- 2.63 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.8
- 0.90 G
- Power play
- 3 G0.9
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.34 – 3.58
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 3/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 22
- Hits
- 20
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 11
- Giveaways
- 14
- 3
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
2@
3SOFinal
5@
1Final
3@
6this game
4@
3SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















