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Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ESPN, SN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 12:25 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 70% to 81%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.5, PIT 3.7; shots on goal were PHI 34, PIT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Aleksei Kolosov stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 0.9 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Blake Lizotte (1 G), 3. Evgeni Malkin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Lizotte1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0811729334
PITPIT21321324630

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Brazeau(13)PPG
    B. Kindel (12), A. Mantha (16)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:16
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(17)PPG
    K. Letang (21), S. Crosby (26)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:25

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin (23), T. Novak (14)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:16
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:17
  3. PIT
    backhandxG 0.37win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:29

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(25)PPG
    E. Malkin (24), R. Rakell (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    3:10
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.07Video
    1-6
    4:27
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.02Video
    2-6
    10:54
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.08Video
    3-6
    17:25

Penalties

PHI 13 PIM·PIT 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:23PHICam York · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 3:53PHITravis Sanheim · High stickingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 6:43PITBlake Lizotte · Slashingdrawn by Denver Barkey2 min
  • 12:11PHIGarnet Hathaway · Trippingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 17:34PITJack St. Ivany · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

3rd

  • 1:32PHIMatvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 1:32PHIMatvei Michkov · Fightingdrawn by Blake Lizotte5 min
  • 1:32PITBlake Lizotte · Fightingdrawn by Matvei Michkov5 min
  • 11:40PITKris Letang · Boardingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 14:00PITTommy Novak · Trippingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, 1st 12:25 — PIT 70% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.37N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.23B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.22B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.20T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.16A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.16J. Brazeau · Goal · xG 0.15N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.13E. Chinakhov · Goal · xG 0.13B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.12S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.11A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.06K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.05C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.04K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.00P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.00C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT6 G · 3.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
3.53 G
All situations
6 G3.7
2.63 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.90 G
Power play
3 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI46%54%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.34 – 3.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
34
Shots on goal
30
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
3/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
22
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. YorkD011+120.19112—23:02
9J. DrysdaleD000-140.31020—22:39
6T. SanheimD000+110.27112—21:04
24N. SeelerD101030.05110—18:18
22C. DvorakC000-230.191106717:34
46T. ZegrasC000020.340005017:16
14S. CouturierC011+230.251004717:09
11T. KonecnyR000-200.21100—17:05
74O. TippettR000050.20200—16:37
52D. BarkeyC022+230.44010016:15
29N. GrebenkinR000-200.00100—15:41
27N. CatesL000030.312003315:33
39M. MichkovR101+240.52117—14:45
36E. AndraeD000-100.00110—13:39
47N. JuulsenD011000.03010—13:38
91C. GrundstromR011000.0060010012:06
19G. HathawayR000000.06202—11:28
18R. AbolsC101010.171105010:37
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Kolosov(L)16133.8132.10-0.9037:43
33S. Ersson14113.7861.58-1.4222:06

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).