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Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NHLN, SN-PIT·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Foerster's goal at 5:36 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 39% to 55%. Expected goals were close — PIT 2.7, PHI 2.6; shots on goal were PIT 27, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (2 G), 2. Bryan Rust (1 G, 2 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1729211527
PHIPHI0816015129

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust (12), A. Mantha (7)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:18

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:36
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(18)PPG
    B. Rust (13), E. Karlsson (15)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:08
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:52

3rd period

  1. PIT
    T. Novak(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    13:52
  2. PIT
    backhandxG 0.09Video
    5-1
    15:33

Penalties

PIT 14 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:59PITBlake Lizotte · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

2nd

  • 3:40PITErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 4:23PITConnor Clifton · Interferencedrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 5:36PITKris Letang · High stickingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 7:50PHIRodrigo Abols · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 15:20PHISean Couturier · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
  • 17:12PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Emil Andrae2 min
  • 18:30PHIEmil Andrae · Interferencedrawn by Kris Letang2 min

3rd

  • 3:12PITVille Koivunen · Interferencedrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 12:03PHIMatvei Michkov · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 19:50PITAnthony Mantha · Cross checkingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Tyson Foerster, 2nd 5:36 — PHI 39% → 55%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.29T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.25T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.16J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.15O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.13B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.13T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.11T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.10T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.10B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.10C. York · On goal · xG 0.10E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.09T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.05M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.02E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.00N. Grebenkin · Missed · xG 0.00N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 2.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
2.75 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.73 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT51%49%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
27
Shots on goal
29
51%
Faceoffs
49%
3/4
Power play
1/7
14
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
20
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD022+120.12002—21:13
28P. WotherspoonD011+100.00310—20:47
58K. LetangD011020.03102—20:04
5R. SheaD000010.04120—19:33
17B. RustR123+220.19020—19:05
87S. CrosbyC202+250.781025618:13
75C. CliftonD000+110.01212—17:55
81B. KindelC000020.090203817:07
27R. GravesD000+120.09000—16:48
71E. MalkinC022020.200104016:09
41V. KoivunenR000010.15002—13:59
13K. HayesR101+110.09200—13:36
19C. DewarC000000.001105013:12
39A. ManthaR011+110.01022—13:12
2R. McGroartyR000020.35300—12:31
18T. NovakC101010.15000012:26
46B. LizotteC000000.031027112:25
14B. ImamaL000020.35300—09:39
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)29281.9662.61+1.6160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).