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Stars at Ducks
NHL

Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks

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Dallas Stars
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 3:36 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.6 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 25, ANA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lukas Dostal (24 saves, .960), 2. Chris Kreider (1 G), 3. Beckett Sennecke (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Dostal24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Kreider1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    B. Sennecke1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0701018125
ANAANA0121627325

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    C. Kreider(15)
    M. Granlund (11), R. Gudas (8)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:36

3rd period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(15)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:03
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(14)
    M. Duchene (7), W. Johnston (27)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:48
  3. ANA
    J. Trouba(8)EN
    J. LaCombe (23)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:39

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:48DALNils Lundkvist · Trippingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

2nd

  • 0:43ANAMikael Granlund · Holding the stickdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 2:27ANAserved by O. Zellweger · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 2:31DALJason Robertson · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 18:12ANARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDAL goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 3:36 — ANA 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.55I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.19B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.19A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.15B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.14I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.14M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.12B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.12A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.11I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.07O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.05R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.04J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.04R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.03M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.01M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.00N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsANA
2.61 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
1.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL42%58%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsANA
25
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
29
21
Blocked shots
17
20
Giveaways
16
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000-130.08130—28:58
96M. RantanenR000-110.04120—23:24
53W. JohnstonC011041.001104022:08
23E. LindellD000000.00020—21:37
21J. RobertsonL000-140.56112—20:39
24R. HintzC101-130.422005018:37
95M. DucheneC011-230.160105018:12
5N. LundkvistD000010.02112—17:54
28A. PetrovicD000000.00220—17:36
22M. BourqueC000010.062006014:49
18S. SteelC000010.141006714:47
49J. HryckowianC000010.10300014:10
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.04230—13:57
20K. CapobiancoD000-200.00220—12:56
15C. BlackwellC000010.002105009:59
12R. FaksaC000010.032005009:53
10O. BäckC000000.00010009:50
14J. BennL000000.00110—09:38
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)24222.9173.03+1.0356:56

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).