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Flames at Blue Jackets
NHL

Calgary Flames at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FDSNOH, SNW·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Boone Jenner's goal at 18:26 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.9 to 4.6; shots on goal were CGY 32, CBJ 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 38 of 42 (.905); Jet Greaves stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Werenski (1 G, 2 A), 2. Boone Jenner (1 G, 1 A), 3. Charlie Coyle (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    C. Coyle2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0827117332
CBJCBJ210014319543

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:57
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:24

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Frost(9)PPG
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:00
  2. CGY
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:18

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.11win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:46
  2. CGY
    M. Frost (13), C. Zary (9)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:05
  3. CBJ
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +45 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:26
  4. CBJ
    wristxG 0.94win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:57

Penalties

CGY 13 PIM·CBJ 11 PIM

2nd

  • 2:14CGYBrayden Pachal · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
  • 9:15CBJBoone Jenner · Fightingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson5 min
  • 9:15CGYRasmus Andersson · Fightingdrawn by Boone Jenner5 min
  • 10:09CBJZach Werenski · Slashingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min
  • 16:56CGYMorgan Frost · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
  • 19:13CBJserved by Adam Fantilli · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 2:54CGYYegor Sharangovich · Hookingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min
  • 4:01CGYYan Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Kent Johnson2 min
  • 9:28CBJDante Fabbro · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCGY goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Boone Jenner, 3rd 18:26 — CBJ 52% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.94C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.29C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.26C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.23A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.21B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.20C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.19D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.17K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.14C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.11A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.11M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.10D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.10B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.10K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.09C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.08B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.07K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.07K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.06M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.06M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.06K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.05I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.04D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.04K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.04D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Christiansen · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 4.9 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCBJ
4.63 G
All situations
4 G4.9
3.10 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
1.53 G
Power play
1 G1.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY58%42%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.27 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCBJ
32
Shots on goal
43
45%
Faceoffs
55%
3/3
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
12
Hits
21
9
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7K. BahlD000-200.00020—24:24
52M. WeegarD000-120.13300—23:35
37Y. KuznetsovD000-110.03022—22:52
4R. AnderssonD101-330.09315—22:47
11M. BacklundC112-240.540004320:31
86J. FarabeeL000020.190005018:52
91N. KadriC000-230.391007717:44
47C. ZaryC022-271.5600010017:43
10J. HuberdeauL000000.13010—17:02
17Y. SharangovichC022-300.00012017:01
27M. CoronatoR000-210.05000—14:44
16M. FrostC112-140.711022914:18
43A. KlapkaR000-220.53200—14:04
94B. PachalD000020.04022—12:13
44J. HanleyD000000.00100—11:43
23J. KirklandC000000.000002509:57
70R. LombergL000000.00100—07:35
65W. StromgrenL000010.21000—06:21
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)42384.9054.01+0.0158:42

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).