Calgary Flames at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Boone Jenner's goal at 18:26 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.9 to 4.6; shots on goal were CGY 32, CBJ 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 38 of 42 (.905); Jet Greaves stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Werenski (1 G, 2 A), 2. Boone Jenner (1 G, 1 A), 3. Charlie Coyle (2 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★Z. Werenski1 G, 2 A

- ★★B. Jenner1 G, 1 A

- ★★★C. Coyle2 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-13:57
0-213:24
2nd period
1-212:00
2-219:18
3rd period
2-34:46
3-310:05
3-418:26
3-519:57
Penalties
2nd
- 2:14
Brayden Pachal · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
- 9:15
Boone Jenner · Fightingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson5 min
- 9:15
Rasmus Andersson · Fightingdrawn by Boone Jenner5 min
- 10:09
Zach Werenski · Slashingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min
- 16:56
Morgan Frost · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
- 19:13
served by Adam Fantilli · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 2:54
Yegor Sharangovich · Hookingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min
- 4:01
Yan Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Kent Johnson2 min
- 9:28
Dante Fabbro · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Boone Jenner, 3rd 18:26 — 52% → 96%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.63 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.9
- 3.10 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.2
- 1.53 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.27 – 3.77
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 43
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 3/3
- Power play
- 1/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 12
- Hits
- 21
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 17
- Giveaways
- 14
- 5
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
5Final
3@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















