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Blue Jackets at Flames
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Calgary Flames

FinalTV FDSNOH, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 7:47 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were CBJ 43, CGY 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.0 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (1 G), 2. Dustin Wolf (42 saves, .977), 3. Samuel Honzek (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Wolf42 saves, .977
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Honzek1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ110011022143
CGYCGY2132716526

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:56
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:32
  3. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:57

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:47
  2. CGY
    snapxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    8:24

3rd period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.50Video
    1-5
    19:11

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:04CBJAdam Fantilli · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

3rd

  • 0:57CGYKevin Bahl · Hookingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 8:36CBJDmitri Voronkov · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 12:11CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 12:11CBJIvan Provorov · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCBJ goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 2nd 7:47 — CGY 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.50M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.22Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.21B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.18N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.11S. Honzek · Missed · xG 0.10M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.09M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.08A. Klapka · Goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.07S. Honzek · On goal · xG 0.07S. Honzek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.01S. Honzek · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCGY
3.21 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.90 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ70%30%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCGY
43
Shots on goal
26
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
23
19
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-150.23130—27:28
9I. ProvorovD000-260.25012—23:47
78D. SeversonD000-110.11300—23:16
15D. FabbroD000-210.02130—23:00
86K. MarchenkoR101+150.39100—18:48
19A. FantilliC000-230.381024517:55
38B. JennerC011-200.002007516:46
4C. SillingerC000-210.3820010016:40
3C. CoyleC000-130.231107516:24
10D. VoronkovL000030.47002—15:56
24M. OlivierR000-220.02300—14:46
91K. JohnsonC000-130.21010014:39
11M. WoodL000-330.22000—14:26
23S. MonahanC000020.170004513:11
21I. LundestromC000-110.041006411:49
2J. ChristiansenD000-100.00010—11:09
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000-110.01200—10:47
37D. MayoD000-130.06000—07:33
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(L)25214.8402.03-1.9755:40

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).