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Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FDSNW, Victory+·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 16:14 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were DAL 18, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 25 (.960); Darcy Kuemper stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (1 G), 2. Jake Oettinger (24 saves, .960), 3. Corey Perry (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    C. Perry1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL130629318
LAKLAK0501317125

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    S. Steel (11), E. Lindell (15)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:44

3rd period

  1. LAK
    C. Perry (13), B. Clarke (17)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:42
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz (22), E. Lindell (16)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:14
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.60win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:42

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·LAK 2 PIM

2nd

  • 10:52DALMikko Rantanen · Embellishment2 min
  • 10:52LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 5:02DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
  • 8:08DALNils Lundkvist · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Helenius2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalDAL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 3rd 16:14 — DAL 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.18J. Malott · Missed · xG 0.16S. Helenius · Missed · xG 0.14A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.12A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.08A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.08J. Malott · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.05B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.03M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Turcotte · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.00Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.00B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 1.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsLAK
2.62 G
All situations
1 G1.5
1.42 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL47%53%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.32 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsLAK
18
Shots on goal
25
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/0
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD022+200.04110—26:36
4M. HeiskanenD000+210.03110—25:55
55T. HarleyD000+140.09030—23:08
21J. RobertsonL101+110.13000—18:40
18S. SteelC022+200.681104318:20
22M. BourqueC000+130.08100017:26
28A. PetrovicD000+100.02310—17:09
24R. HintzC011+120.033007516:49
53W. JohnstonC101+110.190008016:43
96M. RantanenR011+220.14112—16:19
5N. LundkvistD000000.00022—14:52
95M. DucheneC101+120.690003814:19
49J. HryckowianC000000.00200013:02
14J. BennL000010.02112—12:37
20K. CapobiancoD000000.00010—12:31
12R. FaksaC000000.290104310:55
10O. BäckC000010.15000010:54
11N. BastianR000000.05300—09:11
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)25241.9601.47+0.4760:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).