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Kings at Stars
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV FDSNW, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Kings scored first; the Stars answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Bäck's goal at 6:12 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were LAK 28, DAL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.9 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 3. Oskar Bäck (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    O. Bäck1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK01111304128
DALDAL0519312426

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kuzmenko(5)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.23win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:03
  2. DAL
    M. Duchene(2)
    M. Rantanen (30), W. Johnston (22)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:42

3rd period

  1. DAL
    O. Bäck(2)
    R. Faksa (11), C. Blackwell (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +28 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:12
  2. DAL
    M. Rantanen(14)
    T. Harley (10)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:11
  3. DAL
    W. Johnston(17)EN
    M. Duchene (2)
    snapxG 0.70Video
    1-4
    19:28

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 19:54DALOskar Bäck · Interferencedrawn by Jeff Malott2 min

2nd

  • 6:29LAKMikey Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 9:24LAKBrandt Clarke · Interferencedrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 9:24DALRadek Faksa · High sticking double minordrawn by Brandt Clarke4 min
  • 11:00DALOskar Bäck · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min
  • 12:57LAKJoel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Thomas Harley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalLAK goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Oskar Bäck, 3rd 6:12 — DAL 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.70T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.23M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.22M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.22M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.20J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.17M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.16M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.10R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.10R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.10C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.09O. Bäck · Goal · xG 0.07C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.03S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 3.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsDAL
2.81 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.80 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK51%49%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsDAL
28
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
18
20
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-220.08110—23:21
92B. ClarkeD000-110.01232—20:16
11A. KopitarC000-200.110205220:04
6J. EdmundsonD000-130.03210—19:09
44M. AndersonD000-120.42122—18:16
22K. FialaL000-330.34110—17:44
14A. LaferriereR000030.063004717:34
96A. KuzmenkoL101-120.57100—17:18
9A. KempeR000-210.19300—16:58
2B. DumoulinD000-130.09000—16:41
5C. CeciD000-110.03010—15:33
10C. PerryR000-210.01200—15:25
37W. FoegeleL000020.05110—15:10
40J. ArmiaR000000.08112—14:42
12T. MooreL000-110.21100—14:41
15A. TurcotteC000-110.320106413:11
79S. HeleniusC000-100.006004010:51
39J. MalottL000-120.19510—10:26
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)20173.8502.14-0.8642:40
35D. Kuemper5501.0000.50+0.5016:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).