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Stars at Sharks
NHL

Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
4
San Jose Sharks
▸5
Final/OTTV Victory+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Dallas Stars 5-4 in overtime, Tyler Toffoli scoring at 1:58. The Sharks came back from two goals down. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 1:58 of overtime, which took the Sharks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were DAL 20, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.9 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (2 G, 1 A), 2. Adam Gaudette (1 G, 1 A), 3. Macklin Celebrini (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Toffoli2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    A. Gaudette1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL29151600420
SJSSJS011292813531

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Hryckowian(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:33
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(26)
    M. Rantanen (43), R. Hintz (21)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:03

2nd period

  1. SJS
    A. Wennberg(9)PPG
    M. Celebrini (44), T. Toffoli (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:44
  2. SJS
    J. Skinner(6)PPG
    I. Chernyshov (6), A. Gaudette (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:49
  3. DAL
    K. Capobianco(2)
    M. Bourque (8), J. Robertson (28)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:01

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Rantanen(18)
    S. Steel (10), N. Lundkvist (3)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:53
  2. SJS
    T. Toffoli(12)PPG
    M. Celebrini (45), D. Orlov (21)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:28
  3. SJS
    A. Gaudette(10)
    S. Dickinson (4), C. Graf (12)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +40 ptsVideo
    4-4
    15:01

Overtime

  1. SJS
    T. Toffoli(13)PPG
    W. Eklund (18), M. Celebrini (46)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    1:58

Penalties

DAL 12 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:22DALColin Blackwell · Interferencedrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min

2nd

  • 1:41SJSDmitry Orlov · High stickingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 3:59DALEsa Lindell · Trippingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 4:54DALAdam Erne · Interferencedrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 12:52DALColin Blackwell · Trippingdrawn by Pavol Regenda2 min
  • 20:00SJSTimothy Liljegren · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

3rd

  • 8:43DALIlya Lyubushkin · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

OT

  • 0:57DALMikko Rantanen · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalDAL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, OT 1:58 — SJS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.23W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.17P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.17I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.16B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.16J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.16P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.13A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.12A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.09W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.09J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.07R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.05D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.03P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.03A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.03I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.02P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01V. Iorio · On goal · xG 0.01P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.00M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSJS
2.74 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.94 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.80 G
Power play
4 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL41%59%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSJS
20
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
4/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000+110.01140—29:54
23E. LindellD000+100.00022—26:24
55T. HarleyD000020.08000—22:53
53W. JohnstonC000+230.451005022:06
96M. RantanenR112+230.36212—21:35
21J. RobertsonL112+230.63100—18:24
18S. SteelC011+100.000105017:35
24R. HintzC011+230.400006716:43
46I. LyubushkinD000+100.00112—16:04
22M. BourqueC011+100.00000015:59
95M. DucheneC000000.000006714:54
5N. LundkvistD011+210.05100—14:16
49J. HryckowianC101020.31200012:53
10O. BäckC000000.10020011:04
12R. FaksaC000000.012104411:01
20K. CapobiancoD101+110.07010—10:38
15C. BlackwellC000000.220042008:08
73A. ErneL000010.03112—08:01
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(O)31265.8393.14-1.8661:53

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).