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Stars at Sharks
NHL

Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸5
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV Victory+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the San Jose Sharks 5-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Hryckowian's goal at 19:17 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were DAL 30, SJS 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (2 G), 2. Collin Graf (2 G), 3. Macklin Celebrini (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    C. Graf2 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL210210110530
SJSSJS012214111337

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(10)
    M. Rantanen (31), E. Lindell (9)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:25
  2. DAL
    W. Johnston(18)
    M. Heiskanen (23), E. Lindell (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:38

2nd period

  1. SJS
    S. Mukhamadullin(2)
    T. Dellandrea (9)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:43
  2. DAL
    W. Johnston(19)PPG
    M. Rantanen (32), R. Hintz (18)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:40
  3. SJS
    C. Graf(7)
    M. Celebrini (34)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:44
  4. DAL
    J. Hryckowian(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:17

3rd period

  1. SJS
    C. Graf(8)
    I. Chernyshov (2), M. Celebrini (35)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:32
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(5)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.54win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-3
    18:42

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·SJS 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:58DALSam Steel · Slashingdrawn by Shakir Mukhamadullin2 min

2nd

  • 8:04SJSShakir Mukhamadullin · High stickingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 14:21DALSam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

3rd

  • 12:18DALMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Zack Ostapchuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalDAL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Hryckowian, 2nd 19:17 — DAL 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.27A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.25M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.25I. Chernyshov · Missed · xG 0.22A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.19C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.17C. Graf · Goal · xG 0.16I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.15W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.13C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.11T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.10W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.10R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.08W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.08A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.07W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.07E. Cardwell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.06E. Cardwell · On goal · xG 0.06I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05C. Graf · Goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04S. Mukhamadullin · Goal · xG 0.04T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cardwell · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01I. Chernyshov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cardwell · Missed · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 3.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSJS
2.74 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.03 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.11 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL27%73%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSJS
30
Shots on goal
37
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
30
20
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD022+210.00030—25:46
4M. HeiskanenD011+210.05030—23:48
55T. HarleyD000010.03000—22:00
53W. JohnstonC202+140.291105018:43
5N. LundkvistD000+130.05030—17:54
96M. RantanenR022+210.1010210017:43
95M. DucheneC000+200.261005516:02
46I. LyubushkinD000-200.00350—15:58
21J. RobertsonL000+150.23210—15:43
10O. BäckC000+110.08020015:34
24R. HintzC112+230.330005314:35
22M. BourqueC000050.340005614:30
49J. HryckowianC101-110.0531010014:07
28A. PetrovicD000-100.05300—14:06
14J. BennL101+130.77100—13:44
12R. FaksaC000-110.050007111:57
18S. SteelC000-300.001045011:09
15C. BlackwellC000-200.000106710:41
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)37343.9193.65+0.6560:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).