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Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken

Final/OTTV FDSNNOX, KHN/Prime·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Seattle Kraken 3-2 in overtime, Mats Zuccarello scoring at 2:09. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 2:09 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 34, SEA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (1 G), 2. Vince Dunn (2 A), 3. Philipp Grubauer (31 saves, .912).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    V. Dunn2 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    P. Grubauer31 saves, .912

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN2100801214334
SEASEA0110621100228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:00
  2. MIN
    Q. Hughes (33), M. Boldy (23)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:54

3rd period

  1. SEA
    V. Dunn (18)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:13
  2. SEA
    J. McCann (7), V. Dunn (19)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:07

Overtime

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.20win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:09

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·SEA 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:06SEAAdam Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 16:36MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Ben Meyers2 min

3rd

  • 6:49MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min
  • 8:48MINYakov Trenin · Elbowingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalMIN goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, OT 2:09 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.26M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.22V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.20T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.20M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.20B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.16M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.13J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.09T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.08S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.07M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.06M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.06M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.06M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.05B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.05B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.05S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.05S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.05R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.05S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.04A. Larsson · Goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.04B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.00V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 3.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSEA
2.73 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.63 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN45%55%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSEA
34
Shots on goal
28
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
13
9
Blocked shots
19
16
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011+140.27010—30:13
7B. FaberD112+230.11010—29:09
97K. KaprizovL022+140.36200—24:44
25J. BrodinD000020.11010—20:40
12M. BoldyL011+110.311006320:09
36M. ZuccarelloR101+230.46020—18:41
38R. HartmanR101+120.460023018:41
46J. SpurgeonD000030.06020—16:30
90M. JohanssonL000+120.20100—16:18
22D. YurovR000020.120002815:42
17M. FolignoL000020.06400—13:07
5J. MiddletonD000000.00112—13:06
91V. TarasenkoR000010.05000—13:02
13Y. TreninC000010.03502012:09
48D. HuntD000000.00010—11:35
78N. SturmC000-100.002004611:21
18V. HinostrozaC000-110.02000009:04
14J. Eriksson EkC000+130.040008007:57
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(W)28262.9293.04+1.0462:09

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).