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Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV FDSNNOX, KHN/Prime·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 8:12 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 29, SEA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matt Boldy (1 A), 3. Filip Gustavsson (23 saves, .958).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson23 saves, .958

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01019310429
SEASEA0816010124

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:18
  2. SEA
    J. Eberle(9)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:48

3rd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:12
  2. MIN
    backhandxG 0.56win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:45
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.52Video
    4-1
    19:00

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·SEA 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:08SEAChandler Stephenson · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 11:16SEAVince Dunn · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 15:03MINDanila Yurov · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 15:03MINDanila Yurov · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 15:03SEAVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Danila Yurov2 min

2nd

  • 1:39SEAKaapo Kakko · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 6:40MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 13:32MINDaemon Hunt · Holding the stickdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalMIN goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 3rd 8:12 — MIN 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.24S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.10C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.10E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.06S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.05S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02J. Nyman · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02J. Nyman · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.01R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.01M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.01R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.00J. Nyman · Missed · xG 0.00J. Nyman · Missed · xG 0.00S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA1 G · 1.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSEA
4.22 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.72 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN69%31%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSEA
29
Shots on goal
24
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
19
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97K. KaprizovL101+131.16100—23:08
12M. BoldyL011+320.2113210022:49
25J. BrodinD000+200.04050—22:05
7B. FaberD000+210.12030—21:52
14J. Eriksson EkC123+360.330005021:04
90M. JohanssonL101+320.10200—18:37
91V. TarasenkoR101+120.70100—18:37
46J. SpurgeonD011+110.10310—18:08
13Y. TreninC000040.31900016:40
5J. MiddletonD011000.00010—16:34
38R. HartmanR000010.121105015:03
24Z. BogosianD000+200.15000—14:24
8Z. BuiumD000+110.05010—13:58
22D. YurovR000000.002142313:36
28L. OhgrenL000020.05200—12:50
78N. SturmC011+120.632005611:47
48D. HuntD000000.00012—09:09
36M. ZuccarelloR000020.19000—05:32
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)24231.9581.76+0.7659:59

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).