Skip to content
Senators at Avalanche
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸8
FinalTV ALT, KTVD·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Ottawa Senators 8-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 8-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 17:14 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 31, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Leevi Meriläinen stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Josh Manson (2 G, 2 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 3 A), 3. Brock Nelson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Manson2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    B. Nelson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT011110110231
COLCOL21161706834

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    J. Manson(3)
    R. Colton (12), B. Nelson (16)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:11
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(36)
    M. Necas (35), S. Malinski (20)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:14

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(13)
    N. MacKinnon (40), J. Manson (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:35
  2. OTT
    S. Pinto(13)
    C. Giroux (21), J. Sanderson (24)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:08
  3. COL
    M. Necas(20)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (41), C. Makar (37)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    11:46
  4. COL
    B. Burns(6)
    J. Manson (15), R. Colton (13)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    12:03
  5. COL
    B. Nelson(20)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (42), C. Makar (38)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-6
    14:23
  6. COL
    J. Manson(4)
    J. Drury (7), Z. Bardakov (6)
    slapxG 0.03Video
    1-7
    16:48
  7. COL
    B. Nelson(21)
    I. Solovyov (2), R. Colton (14)
    slapxG 0.12Video
    1-8
    18:04

3rd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(8)SHG
    T. Kleven (6)
    snapxG 0.21Video
    2-8
    7:03

Penalties

OTT 42 PIM·COL 16 PIM

1st

  • 2:04COLJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Kleven5 min
  • 2:04OTTTyler Kleven · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
  • 18:32COLSamuel Girard · Trippingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

2nd

  • 0:19COLJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 11:02OTTMichael Amadio · Hookingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 13:43OTTBrady Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 13:52OTTShane Pinto · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

3rd

  • 3:04COLSamuel Girard · Roughingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 3:04COLSamuel Girard · Fightingdrawn by Tim Stützle5 min
  • 3:04OTTTim Stützle · Fightingdrawn by Samuel Girard5 min
  • 5:55OTTShane Pinto · Roughingdrawn by Scott Wedgewood2 min
  • 11:49OTTNick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 11:49OTTNick Cousins · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:59OTTRidly Greig · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 13:59OTTRidly Greig · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalOTT goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 1st 17:14 — COL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.20B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.17R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.15A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.12B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.09J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.07B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.06G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.05I. Ivan · Missed · xG 0.05J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bardakov · Missed · xG 0.01G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00
COL8 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCOL
2.12 G
All situations
8 G2.7
1.61 G
Even strength
6 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT39%61%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCOL
31
Shots on goal
34
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
2/6
42
Penalty minutes
16
38
Hits
12
14
Blocked shots
21
7
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD011-220.02320—20:29
72T. ChabotD000-320.07210—19:47
33N. MatinpaloD000+100.02210—19:40
43T. KlevenD011+110.07535—19:01
2A. ZubD000-300.00020—18:30
12S. PintoC101-130.240045018:10
28C. GirouxR011-110.101004617:26
10J. SpenceD000-240.04110—17:20
18T. StützleC000-200.001055017:07
71R. GreigC000020.1520124316:30
19D. BathersonR000-130.25000—15:15
7B. TkachukL101-170.41502—15:04
24D. CozensC000-130.344003814:02
22M. AmadioR000-100.02112—13:54
57D. PerronL000-110.04310—13:41
20F. ZetterlundL000-110.18500—12:46
89L. EllerC000-110.101106311:10
21N. CousinsC000-200.002112010:44
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Meriläinen(L)18153.8331.45-1.5542:35
40M. Sogaard16115.6881.20-3.8017:25

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).