Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1 in overtime, Easton Cowan scoring at 2:48. The Flyers scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Flyers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Easton Cowan's goal at 2:48 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 23, PHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Dennis Hildeby stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Easton Cowan (1 G), 2. Scott Laughton (1 G), 3. Dan Vladar (21 saves, .913).
Three stars
- ★E. Cowan1 G

- ★★S. Laughton1 G

- ★★★D. Vladar21 saves, .913

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-10:55
3rd period
1-114:04
Overtime
2-12:48
Penalties
1st
- 18:35
Troy Stecher · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
2nd
- 8:40
Emil Andrae · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
- 11:31
Travis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min
3rd
- 10:59
Matthew Knies · Slashingdrawn by Denver Barkey2 min
- 12:07
Troy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Easton Cowan, OT 2:48 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.62 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.2
- 2.51 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.4
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.01 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 3.19
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 69%
- Faceoffs
- 31%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 20
- Hits
- 25
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 17
- Giveaways
- 8
- 6
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
TOR leads 2-1
5@
2Final
2@
1OTthis game
3@
2SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















