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Maple Leafs at Flyers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NBCSP, TVAS·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1 in overtime, Easton Cowan scoring at 2:48. The Flyers scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Flyers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Easton Cowan's goal at 2:48 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 23, PHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Dennis Hildeby stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Easton Cowan (1 G), 2. Scott Laughton (1 G), 3. Dan Vladar (21 saves, .913).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    E. Cowan1 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    S. Laughton1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    D. Vladar21 saves, .913

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR06071911223
PHIPHI08130903123

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:55

3rd period

  1. TOR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +37 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:04

Overtime

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:48

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:35TORTroy Stecher · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

2nd

  • 8:40PHIEmil Andrae · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 11:31PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min

3rd

  • 10:59TORMatthew Knies · Slashingdrawn by Denver Barkey2 min
  • 12:07TORTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTOR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Easton Cowan, OT 2:48 — TOR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.27C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.20C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.18T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.17T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.17D. Barkey · On goal · xG 0.15O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.13S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.13T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.12C. York · On goal · xG 0.11C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.10O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.09M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.07M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.06S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.05N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.04S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.03R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.03N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.00S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 3.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsPHI
2.62 G
All situations
1 G3.2
2.51 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR40%60%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
23
69%
Faceoffs
31%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000+110.08100—25:00
28T. StecherD000000.00144—23:25
23M. KniesL000010.31202—20:40
44M. RiellyD000020.21000—20:11
34A. MatthewsC000-130.161103819:04
25B. CarloD000020.03100—18:52
91J. TavaresC011+100.130006717:54
63M. MaccelliL000020.31000—17:47
2S. BenoitD000020.03130—17:22
74B. McMannC000-120.37310016:47
11M. DomiC000-120.14120015:32
51P. MyersD000010.03000—14:25
24S. LaughtonC101+110.042209514:04
55N. RoyC000010.162005013:31
53E. CowanR101+120.31300—13:28
18S. LorentzC000+100.0000010012:28
89N. RobertsonL000010.29200—11:37
19C. JarnkrokC000000.00000010:24
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Hildeby(W)23221.9573.24+2.2462:41

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).