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Maple Leafs at Flyers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV NHLN, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Flyers scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake McCabe's goal at 8:14 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — TOR 3.2, PHI 3.0; shots on goal were TOR 27, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (31 saves, .939), 2. John Tavares (2 A), 3. Nick Robertson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Stolarz31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    N. Robertson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR1621229527
PHIPHI1707119233

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    C. Dvorak(3)
    N. Grebenkin (2), T. Konecny (4)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:09
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(6)
    M. Rielly (5), N. Robertson (3)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:16

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. McCabe(2)
    C. Tanev (2), M. Maccelli (3)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:14
  2. TOR
    N. Robertson(3)
    M. Knies (11), J. Tavares (9)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:34

3rd period

  1. TOR
    E. Cowan(1)
    J. Tavares (10)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-1
    0:33
  2. PHI
    T. Foerster(4)PPG
    T. Zegras (9), M. Michkov (5)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:08
  3. TOR
    C. Jarnkrok(4)EN
    D. Joshua (2), S. Benoit (2)
    wristxG 0.55Video
    5-2
    19:42

Penalties

TOR 12 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:02PHITravis Konecny · High stickingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
  • 13:02PHITravis Konecny · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min

2nd

  • 1:09TORserved by J. Tavares · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:53TORMax Domi · Hookingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

3rd

  • 1:47TORCalle Jarnkrok · High stickingdrawn by Jacob Gaucher2 min
  • 8:23PHIMatvei Michkov · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 10:36TORJake McCabe · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 15:51TORSimon Benoit · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 17:22TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Boardingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTOR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jake McCabe, 2nd 8:14 — TOR 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.20N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.19T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.14T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.13T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.12T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.12N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.10M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.10T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.08O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaucher · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.07T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.07M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaucher · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.03R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.03B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · Missed · xG 0.03R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.03N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.02R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.01T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 3.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsPHI
3.24 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.14 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR44%56%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsPHI
27
Shots on goal
33
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
17
20
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
17
0
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25B. CarloD000+220.04050—24:00
2S. BenoitD011+100.00352—21:02
34A. MatthewsC101+350.811005820:19
23M. KniesL011+200.00200—20:04
44M. RiellyD011+110.01000—19:57
22J. McCabeD101+320.03002—18:25
91J. TavaresC022040.622006317:01
55N. RoyC000+110.100106416:51
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000-100.00012—16:48
89N. RobertsonL112+210.08020—15:20
8C. TanevD011+200.01000—14:50
81D. JoshuaC011+200.00230014:28
63M. MaccelliL011+110.02000—12:45
53E. CowanR101040.32100—12:39
11M. DomiC000030.220124012:14
74B. McMannC000010.10110011:43
19C. JarnkrokC101+110.67302011:08
79S. BlaisL000010.16510—10:09
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)33312.9392.99+0.9960:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).