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Calgary Flames at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV SN, RDS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexandre Texier's goal at 3:10 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were CGY 29, MTL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Jacob Fowler stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexandre Texier (1 G, 2 A), 2. Juraj Slafkovský (1 A), 3. Phillip Danault (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Texier1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    P. Danault1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0711408129
MTLMTL014310112436

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:10
  2. MTL
    slapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:05
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.39win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    8:12
  4. CGY
    snapxG 0.01win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:39

3rd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:56

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:28MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Joel Hanley2 min

2nd

  • 4:55MTLPhillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by William Stromgren2 min
  • 8:55CGYserved by M. Coronato · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:15MTLArber Xhekaj · High stickingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min

3rd

  • 10:21MTLBrendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by William Stromgren2 min
  • 11:24CGYRasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCGY goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Alexandre Texier, 2nd 3:10 — MTL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.39O. Beck · On goal · xG 0.38J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.18N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.16C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.16P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.14L. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.13J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.11S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.10J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.09A. Texier · Goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.06S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.06O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04O. Beck · Missed · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04O. Beck · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.01O. Beck · On goal · xG 0.01J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.00A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsMTL
1.81 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY24%76%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsMTL
29
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
19
13
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-110.00232—22:40
52M. WeegarD000-320.06220—22:13
20B. ColemanL000-140.41200—20:51
7K. BahlD000-200.00120—19:56
91N. KadriC000-120.340005019:32
10J. HuberdeauL000-140.1300010018:30
11M. BacklundC000-110.030007318:21
37Y. KuznetsovD000-220.18120—18:13
27M. CoronatoR000010.080006718:04
17Y. SharangovichC011010.010105015:57
48H. BrzustewiczD011+120.10010—15:36
44J. HanleyD000+100.00110—15:03
86J. FarabeeL101040.30000—13:41
43A. KlapkaR000-100.02510—13:38
47C. ZaryC000-130.090002513:23
16M. FrostC000-120.060005011:54
70R. LombergL000-100.00100—10:47
65W. StromgrenL000-100.00000—08:04
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)36324.8893.51-0.4959:40

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).