Montréal Canadiens at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Calgary Flames 2-1 in overtime, Mike Matheson scoring at 1:00. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 1:00 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were MTL 28, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Dobes (36 saves, .973), 2. Dustin Wolf (26 saves, .929), 3. Mike Matheson (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Dobes36 saves, .973

- ★★D. Wolf26 saves, .929

- ★★★M. Matheson1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-017:09
3rd period
1-15:56
Overtime
2-11:00
Penalties
1st
- 8:35
Jakub Dobes · High stickingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
- 10:42
Adam Klapka · Trippingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min
- 16:28
Rasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
2nd
- 4:34
Zachary Bolduc · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:02
Oliver Kapanen · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 14:37
Mike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
3rd
- 12:18
Noah Dobson · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
- 12:34
Morgan Frost · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mike Matheson, OT 1:00 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.82 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.1
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.4
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.40 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.03
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 17
- Hits
- 23
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 13
- Giveaways
- 12
- 6
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-0
2@
1OTthis game
1@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
