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Stars at Hurricanes
NHL

Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV FDSNSO, Victory+·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Dallas Stars 6-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Stankoven's goal at 18:56 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were DAL 23, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. K'Andre Miller (2 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (4 A), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    K. Miller2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov4 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1805210323
CARCAR39210114633

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    K. Miller(3)
    A. Svechnikov (20), S. Aho (26)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:19
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(25)PPG
    Unassisted
    xG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:53
  3. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(5)PPG
    S. Jarvis (11), A. Svechnikov (21)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:32
  4. CAR
    L. Stankoven(8)
    K. Miller (15), J. Chatfield (8)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:56

2nd period

  1. CAR
    K. Miller(4)
    A. Svechnikov (22), N. Ehlers (21)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:17
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(20)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (23), N. Ehlers (22)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    6:59

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Rantanen(17)
    J. Robertson (26)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    0:36
  2. CAR
    W. Carrier(4)
    N. Ehlers (23)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    8:18
  3. DAL
    W. Johnston(23)PPG
    M. Rantanen (42), J. Robertson (27)
    batxG 0.44Video
    3-6
    18:11

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:21CARWilliam Carrier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:04DALAdam Erne · Slashingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 15:57DALRoope Hintz · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 6:33DALNils Lundkvist · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 7:39DALJason Robertson · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 13:23CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Petrovic2 min

3rd

  • 8:47DALMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 16:41CARWilliam Carrier · Holding the stickdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDAL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Stankoven, 1st 18:56 — CAR 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.38W. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.37J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.29T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.14J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.10T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.09J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.05N. Philp · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.03J. Nystrom · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Philp · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.00S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 3.8 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCAR
3.13 G
All situations
6 G3.8
1.81 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
1.32 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL39%61%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 3.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
28
10
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000-230.03200—22:50
4M. HeiskanenD000000.04100—22:47
23E. LindellD000020.01010—21:09
96M. RantanenR112-330.58002—20:24
21J. RobertsonL123020.34012—19:42
46I. LyubushkinD000-210.08230—19:32
53W. JohnstonC101-230.712004418:30
28A. PetrovicD000-210.01310—16:27
24R. HintzC000-130.625126216:17
95M. DucheneC000-300.070004315:35
22M. BourqueC000000.213006714:35
18S. SteelC000020.091105014:00
5N. LundkvistD000010.05202—13:44
15C. BlackwellC000000.000002013:20
12R. FaksaC000010.053103312:48
10O. BäckC000000.00000012:38
49J. HryckowianC000010.093003311:56
73A. ErneL000000.16212—06:57
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith18171.9441.83+0.8332:56
29J. Oettinger(L)15105.6671.93-3.0726:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).