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Montréal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 10:13 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were MTL 26, STL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jacob Fowler stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Jordan Binnington stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 3.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Binnington (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Robert Thomas (1 G), 3. Alexey Toropchenko (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Binnington26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    A. Toropchenko1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0901007026
STLSTL181704219

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:48

2nd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(10)SHG
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:13

Penalties

MTL 4 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:27MTLNoah Dobson · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

2nd

  • 9:02STLPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 13:20STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 13:43STLColton Parayko · High stickingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 15:36MTLBrendan Gallagher · Hookingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

3rd

  • 2:14STLPavel Buchnevich · High stickingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMTL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Robert Thomas, 2nd 10:13 — STL 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.70B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.41J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.24J. Berggren · Goal · xG 0.20B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.16J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.15O. Stenberg · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.13D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.08A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.08R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.02R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 3.3 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsSTL
3.70 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.70 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
2.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL73%27%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.63 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsSTL
26
Shots on goal
19
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD000-120.05030—28:03
53N. DobsonD000030.45002—27:23
14N. SuzukiC000-130.730105224:21
13C. CaufieldR000040.41000—21:54
8M. MathesonD000000.00130—21:22
20J. SlafkovskýL000-110.07000—20:29
45A. CarrierD000000.00200—20:12
93I. DemidovR000-120.28110—19:38
91O. KapanenC000000.190005615:48
85A. TexierL000000.05110—15:28
24P. DanaultC000-120.432006115:22
11B. GallagherR000-270.67102—14:19
76Z. BolducR000-110.2320010014:03
47J. StrubleD000-100.00100—09:31
90J. VelenoC000000.0010010009:14
62O. BeckC000000.001003308:02
72A. XhekajD000-100.00210—07:53
27S. BlaisL000010.17000—06:43
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Fowler(L)19172.8952.23+0.2356:15

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).