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Blues at Canadiens
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸4
Montréal Canadiens
3
FinalTV FDSNMW, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 1:05 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were STL 18, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Jakub Dobes stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (2 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Holloway (1 G, 2 A), 3. Noah Dobson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    D. Holloway1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Dobson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL142618418
MTLMTL2110718326

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(5)PPG
    C. Fowler (11), D. Holloway (8)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:57
  2. MTL
    L. Hutson(5)
    Z. Bolduc (7), J. Davidson (1)
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:20
  3. MTL
    C. Caufield(16)
    N. Suzuki (24), N. Dobson (14)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:03

2nd period

  1. STL
    D. Holloway(8)
    B. Schenn (7), C. Parayko (9)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:26
  2. STL
    P. Buchnevich(5)
    R. Thomas (14), J. Faulk (8)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:05

3rd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(6)
    D. Holloway (9), M. Joseph (6)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    10:24
  2. MTL
    N. Dobson(4)
    M. Matheson (12), I. Demidov (16)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:15

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:48STLLogan Mailloux · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Kapanen2 min
  • 7:59MTLZachary Bolduc · Slashingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

2nd

  • 4:49STLserved by M. Luff · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:22MTLNoah Dobson · Holding the stickdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

3rd

  • 13:41STLTyler Tucker · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 13:41MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalSTL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, 2nd 1:05 — STL 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.42O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.27C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.24C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.18O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.17C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.16I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.14J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.12L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.10C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.09L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.09N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.03J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.01
MTL3 G · 3.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsMTL
2.64 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL42%58%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsMTL
18
Shots on goal
26
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
14
19
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD000000.02010—23:45
55C. ParaykoD011020.06330—23:00
89P. BuchnevichL101010.19100—20:32
72J. FaulkD011+100.00010—20:11
18R. ThomasC011010.100006719:43
17C. FowlerD011-100.00010—19:37
81D. HollowayL123+140.6233010019:16
63J. NeighboursL000020.54400—16:37
23L. MaillouxD000010.05222—15:35
75T. TuckerD000010.03212—15:29
22P. SuterC000010.113005615:21
10B. SchennC213+130.415005414:54
71M. JosephR011+210.17430—13:58
77N. BjugstadC000010.124104013:26
70O. SundqvistC000-200.182103312:59
54D. DvorskyR000000.0000010012:12
65A. KaskimakiC000-100.0400010008:56
39M. LuffR000-100.00120—08:33
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)26233.8853.06+0.0660:00

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).