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Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSP, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Sanheim's goal at 10:31 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.7 to 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 29, EDM 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dan Vladar (23 saves, .920), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 3. Denver Barkey (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    D. Vladar23 saves, .920
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    D. Barkey1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI3901129529
EDMEDM1141506225

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:16
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:31
  3. PHI
    C. York (14), M. Michkov (14)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    14:38
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.36win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:08

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:54

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    9:09
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.78Video
    5-2
    18:50

Penalties

PHI 11 PIM·EDM 9 PIM

1st

  • 15:40EDMDarnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 15:40PHIGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min

2nd

  • 8:47PHIMatvei Michkov · High stickingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 11:42PHIRodrigo Abols · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:25EDMAlec Regula · High stickingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

3rd

  • 10:20EDMMattias Ekholm · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 20:00PHIGarnet Hathaway · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalPHI goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Travis Sanheim, 1st 10:31 — PHI 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.36R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.27R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.25R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.01S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 2.7 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsEDM
3.74 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI45%55%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
25
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/2
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
9
15
Hits
12
15
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. YorkD011+220.26010—24:36
6T. SanheimD101+120.10050—23:20
22C. DvorakC000010.030106120:29
46T. ZegrasC000020.1420010020:11
55R. RistolainenD000+220.19010—19:16
11T. KonecnyR000020.30100—18:24
24N. SeelerD112+220.02040—18:23
9J. DrysdaleD000010.02010—16:02
74O. TippettR112+221.17100—15:58
36E. AndraeD000+100.01100—15:52
14S. CouturierC022+260.590005515:37
10B. BrinkR101+120.2002010014:36
52D. BarkeyC101+210.17100014:11
27N. CatesL000+100.000003013:57
39M. MichkovR011+110.38002—13:37
91C. GrundstromR000+110.09300—11:54
18R. AbolsC011+120.050028210:41
19G. HathawayR000+100.00607—10:03
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)25232.9202.75+0.7559:46

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).