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Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NBCSP, SN·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1 in overtime, Jack Roslovic scoring at 1:19. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Roslovic's goal at 1:19 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 31, PHI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Jack Roslovic (1 G), 2. Dan Vladar (29 saves, .935), 3. Matvei Michkov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    J. Roslovic1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    D. Vladar29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Michkov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM1130110512231
PHIPHI05160901121

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:05

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:38

Overtime

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.20win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:19

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:43PHINick Seeler · Hookingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min

2nd

  • 14:38EDMJake Walman · Hookingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

3rd

  • 0:03PHINoah Cates · High stickingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 4:12EDMTy Emberson · Holdingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 14:25PHIDan Vladar · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 14:25EDMTrent Frederic · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dan Vladar2 min
  • 14:25EDMMattias Janmark · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalEDM goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Roslovic, OT 1:19 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.19N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.16B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.13O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.12T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.11N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.11T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.10C. York · Missed · xG 0.09N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.07T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.07T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.06M. Michkov · Goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.05N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.00R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsPHI
2.32 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.92 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM55%45%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsPHI
31
Shots on goal
21
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
10
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
13
23
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD101+140.25010—23:45
96J. WalmanD000+120.05012—22:39
29L. DraisaitlC000000.000006322:07
97C. McDavidC011+110.131005421:34
28J. RoslovicC101+140.5100010020:59
25D. NurseD000040.08020—20:54
14M. EkholmD000+130.08010—18:51
19A. HenriqueC000010.180006717:25
92V. PodkolzinR000020.37300—17:00
49T. EmbersonD000020.08112—16:30
22M. SavoieC022+210.140005016:05
27B. KulakD000000.01020—15:35
13M. JanmarkC000010.00102014:53
88A. MangiapaneL000+110.09000—12:45
20C. LazarC000000.002207511:10
10T. FredericC000000.00102010:00
48N. PhilpC000020.031008609:07
53I. HowardL000030.35000—07:38
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)21201.9522.09+1.0961:19

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).