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Lightning at Ducks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Anaheim Ducks
3
Final/OTTV The Spot, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in overtime, Darren Raddysh scoring at 2:47. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Raddysh's goal at 2:47 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were TBL 29, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Lukas Dostal stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mason McTavish (1 G), 2. Beckett Sennecke (1 G), 3. Brayden Point (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. McTavish1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    B. Sennecke1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL171911013429
ANAANA061721401328

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    J. Moser(4)
    D. Raddysh (20), B. Hagel (14)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:30

2nd period

  1. ANA
    J. Harkins(3)
    R. Johnston (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:17
  2. TBL
    B. Point(7)
    M. Crozier (7), N. Kucherov (33)
    tip-inxG 0.27win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:11

3rd period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(12)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.08win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:57
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(18)PPG
    B. Hagel (15), C. D'Astous (10)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    8:00
  3. ANA
    M. McTavish(10)PPG
    P. Mintyukov (6)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:02

Overtime

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(9)
    B. Hagel (16), A. Vasilevskiy (1)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:47

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 7:01ANAOlen Zellweger · Trippingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 16:27TBLMax Crozier · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

3rd

  • 6:12ANAChris Kreider · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 9:33TBLBrandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min
  • 11:47TBLYanni Gourde · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min
  • 15:02ANAPavel Mintyukov · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalTBL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Darren Raddysh, OT 2:47 — TBL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.21M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.15B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.15M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.15J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.14C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.14L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.13T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.11M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.10L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.08J. Harkins · Goal · xG 0.08L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.03I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.03N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.00N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.00P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsANA
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.43 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL58%42%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsANA
29
Shots on goal
28
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
22
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD112+160.33130—26:08
90J. MoserD101+210.10200—24:57
59J. GuentzelC000+320.060105720:06
38B. HagelL033+260.33002—19:14
51C. D'AstousD011-210.09220—18:48
86N. KucherovR112+130.41000—18:29
81E. CernakD000-100.00000—18:28
71A. CirelliC000+140.951104118:00
21B. PointC101+120.460105017:45
37Y. GourdeC000010.173022717:01
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.07500016:10
67D. CarlileD000010.01000—14:55
29P. HolmbergR000-110.061005014:28
24M. CrozierD011+100.00022—14:27
93G. GoncalvesC000000.001005012:46
22O. BjorkstrandR000-110.07000—11:35
20N. PaulL000-200.001102011:30
17D. JamesC000-200.002102008:19
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)28253.8932.63-0.3762:47

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).