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Devils at Maple Leafs
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV MSG, SNO·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New Jersey Devils 4-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Roy's goal at 14:24 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 3.0; shots on goal were NJD 33, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Joseph Woll stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 3.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joseph Woll (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Nick Robertson (2 A), 3. Matthew Knies (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Woll33 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TOR
    N. Robertson2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Knies1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD09014010033
TORTOR1141828430

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:21

2nd period

  1. TOR
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:24

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:35
  2. TOR
    M. Knies(11)EN
    J. Tavares (21), N. Roy (10)
    wristxG 0.84Video
    0-4
    17:01

Penalties

NJD 11 PIM·TOR 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:26NJDCody Glass · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 12:40NJDStefan Noesen · Trippingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
  • 19:29TORJohn Tavares · Slashingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

2nd

  • 12:23NJDArseny Gritsyuk · Slashingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
  • 16:13TORSimon Benoit · Holdingdrawn by Arseny Gritsyuk2 min

3rd

  • 6:22NJDNico Hischier · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Knies5 min
  • 6:22TORMatthew Knies · Fightingdrawn by Nico Hischier5 min
  • 14:19TORMatthew Knies · Hookingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNJD goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Roy, 2nd 14:24 — TOR 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.85J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.48M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.33N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.22B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.21N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.20J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.15M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.13N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.11B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.11B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.10M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.09S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.08M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.06E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.06M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.05E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.02N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.00P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.00N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 4.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTOR
3.00 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
1.30 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD56%44%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTOR
33
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
18
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD000030.10000—25:09
86J. HughesC000-120.20000024:26
22B. PesceD000-120.11010—20:47
63J. BrattL000-140.50110—19:11
13N. HischierC000-240.780054719:06
91D. MercerC000-220.311004018:30
5B. DillonD000-100.00010—18:23
7D. HamiltonD000-230.07000—17:32
71J. SiegenthalerD000-110.01000—15:36
28T. MeierR000-130.210005015:23
45C. WhiteD000010.00120—14:40
12C. GlassC000-110.062024514:28
16C. BrownR000-100.00000—14:23
11S. NoesenR000020.24012—14:11
81A. GritsyukR000-200.06302—13:30
14L. GlendeningC000020.064204511:06
47P. CotterL000000.004202510:23
18O. PalatL000030.23210—10:08
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)29263.8972.65-0.3557:27

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).