New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 16:17 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were NJD 35, TOR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (3 G), 2. John Tavares (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Bratt (3 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Hughes3 G

- ★★J. Tavares1 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Bratt3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-16:36
2nd period
1-11:27
2-13:20
3-14:54
3-27:03
4-216:17
3rd period
5-219:30
Penalties
1st
- 10:28
Dawson Mercer · Slashingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
- 16:54
Cody Glass · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
- 16:54
Max Domi · Roughingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
2nd
- 1:27
served by J. Tavares · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
3rd
- 7:24
Auston Matthews · Hookingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
- 15:44
Jonas Siegenthaler · Interferencedrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
- 19:43
Simon Benoit · Fightingdrawn by Brian Halonen5 min
- 19:43
Brian Halonen · Fightingdrawn by Simon Benoit5 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jack Hughes, 2nd 16:17 — 69% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.44 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.7
- 1.93 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.67
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 21
- Hits
- 22
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 25
- Giveaways
- 17
- 6
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
NJD leads 2-1
5@
2this game
0@
4Final
3@
4SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















