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Devils at Maple Leafs
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV MSG, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 16:17 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were NJD 35, TOR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (3 G), 2. John Tavares (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Bratt (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes3 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD09416110535
TORTOR1711008225

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    batxG 0.27win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:36

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:27
  2. NJD
    C. Glass(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.32win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:20
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:54
  4. TOR
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:03
  5. NJD
    slapxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:17

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.51Video
    5-2
    19:30

Penalties

NJD 11 PIM·TOR 11 PIM

1st

  • 10:28NJDDawson Mercer · Slashingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 16:54NJDCody Glass · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 16:54TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:27TORserved by J. Tavares · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 7:24TORAuston Matthews · Hookingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 15:44NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Interferencedrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 19:43TORSimon Benoit · Fightingdrawn by Brian Halonen5 min
  • 19:43NJDBrian Halonen · Fightingdrawn by Simon Benoit5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNJD goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, 2nd 16:17 — NJD 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.29J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.27A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.25N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.25M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.17M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.15D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.08S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.02B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.01W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 2.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTOR
3.44 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD53%47%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTOR
35
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
11
21
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
16
25
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD000060.04330—23:06
22B. PesceD011+210.10040—21:49
43L. HughesD011+120.35010—20:53
13N. HischierC000020.130007020:52
71J. SiegenthalerD000-100.00032—19:27
86J. HughesC303+360.750103318:53
28T. MeierR011010.30100—17:33
91D. MercerC000040.64002017:23
16C. BrownR000-100.0601010017:10
5B. DillonD101+220.16110—16:33
63J. BrattL033+320.16200—15:20
17S. NemecD011000.00010—15:07
81A. GritsyukR011+120.07100—12:56
12C. GlassC101-130.400023012:19
14L. GlendeningC011+110.033203512:13
47P. CotterL000-130.20300—11:51
18O. PalatL000+100.00100—11:43
48B. HalonenL000000.00605—08:52
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)25232.9202.71+0.7160:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).