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Blue Jackets at Senators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV FDSNOH, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Denton Mateychuk's goal at 1:57 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were CBJ 22, OTT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jet Greaves (27 saves, .964), 2. Damon Severson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Sanderson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    J. Greaves27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    D. Severson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1121327422
OTTOTT07110011128

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.28win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:58

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:21
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:16

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.03win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:57
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:54

Penalties

CBJ 13 PIM·OTT 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:03CBJCole Sillinger · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 13:26OTTFabian Zetterlund · Roughingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 16:01OTTKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
  • 16:01CBJMathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
  • 17:52OTTDylan Cozens · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min

2nd

  • 3:24CBJDante Fabbro · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 10:47CBJDamon Severson · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 12:56OTTDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 14:27CBJMason Marchment · Hookingdrawn by Nikolas Matinpalo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCBJ goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Denton Mateychuk, 3rd 1:57 — CBJ 72% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.23M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.22D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.10D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.10S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.09A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.09F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · Goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.04M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.00F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.00J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.00M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsOTT
2.94 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.54 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ58%42%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsOTT
22
Shots on goal
28
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
23
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
10
20
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5D. MateychukD101+220.03010—27:26
9I. ProvorovD000+200.00120—27:04
17M. MarchmentL011+110.5200210020:26
19A. FantilliC011+130.601005019:09
15D. FabbroD000000.00232—19:09
78D. SeversonD112+210.04032—18:41
86K. MarchenkoR101+150.45110—17:27
10D. VoronkovL011010.17010—16:31
38B. JennerC101+220.5431010015:56
3C. CoyleC022+220.101004515:08
16B. GaunceC000000.020008015:02
4C. SillingerC022+110.113124214:49
11M. WoodL000010.08200—13:58
24M. OlivierR000+110.00405—13:00
7B. SmithD000000.00020—12:36
2J. ChristiansenD000010.03200—10:29
91K. JohnsonC000010.21000008:04
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.00310—07:05
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(W)28271.9642.01+1.0160:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).