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Senators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FDSNOH, TSN5·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-3. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 17:59 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were OTT 29, CBJ 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.2 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (2 G), 2. Drake Batherson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Boone Jenner (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT47112110629
CBJCBJ1921107327

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:58
  2. OTT
    D. Perron (11), D. Cozens (12)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:11
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    14:55
  4. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:04
  5. OTT
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    19:26

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-2
    3:02
  2. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    8:10
  3. OTT
    M. Amadio (6), A. Zub (9)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    5-3
    17:59

3rd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.56Video
    6-3
    18:37

Penalties

OTT 2 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:01CBJCharlie Coyle · Holdingdrawn by David Perron2 min

2nd

  • 7:11OTTserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 11:33CBJCole Sillinger · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalOTT goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, 2nd 17:59 — OTT 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.27B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.20D. Voronkov · Goal · xG 0.15A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.11A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.11D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.09C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.06A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.04K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.03K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.03D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.00K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 1.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCBJ
2.75 G
All situations
3 G1.8
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT57%43%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCBJ
29
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
23
21
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000+310.01010—27:17
2A. ZubD011+320.03110—24:25
22M. AmadioR123+330.32320—19:35
71R. GreigC011+220.012207719:13
18T. StützleC202040.631206018:55
28C. GirouxR112+310.562006318:29
19D. BathersonR123+120.14000—18:27
24D. CozensC033+130.331003917:26
43T. KlevenD000010.01020—17:12
7B. TkachukL000-120.130105017:08
10J. SpenceD000010.03120—17:01
20F. ZetterlundL000-110.01210—15:56
3N. JensenD000010.00110—15:56
33N. MatinpaloD000000.03020—15:40
57D. PerronL112+250.44010—14:53
21N. CousinsC000-100.00210009:12
89L. EllerC000000.002107507:21
23K. MacDermidL000000.00010—04:59
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)27243.8891.80-1.2060:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).