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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MSG 2, MNMT2·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 7-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 9:18 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYR 21, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Logan Thompson stopped 14 of 20 (.700), 3.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vincent Trocheck (2 G, 1 A), 2. Taylor Raddysh (2 G, 1 A), 3. Aliaksei Protas (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    T. Raddysh2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Protas1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1515511721
WSHWSH06315011332

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:57

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:23
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:40
  3. NYR
    W. Cuylle(10)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:14
  4. WSH
    snapxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:11

3rd period

  1. NYR
    W. Cuylle (12), N. Laba (7)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-3
    8:10
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +32 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:18
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    5-3
    13:43
  4. NYR
    snapxG 0.79win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    17:44
  5. NYR
    backhandxG 0.11Video
    7-3
    18:09

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:49WSHRyan Leonard · High sticking double minordrawn by Jonny Brodzinski4 min

2nd

  • 3:57NYRMatthew Robertson · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
  • 8:29NYRCarson Soucy · Holdingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 10:54WSHConnor McMichael · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 2:23WSHAlex Ovechkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min
  • 19:31NYRNoah Laba · Trippingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 3rd 9:18 — NYR 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.19J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.18A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.14T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.13D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.12C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.12B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.12S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.11A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.10R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.09B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.08R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.07E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.07R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.06A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.06E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.05H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.04C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.04B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.04C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.00D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.9 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
3.36 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.85 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR45%55%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
21
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
13
18
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
10A. PanarinL112+141.23100—21:22
17W. BorgenD000+120.03110—20:45
93M. ZibanejadC022+100.202102520:41
4B. SchneiderD011+110.04100—19:58
16V. TrocheckC213+220.230106219:54
44V. GavrikovD000+110.05140—19:46
60S. MorrowD011+200.00030—19:14
24C. SoucyD000+100.00202—19:10
50W. CuylleL123+210.23400—18:56
13A. LafrenièreL112+120.57000—18:22
14T. RaddyshR213+330.40030—15:24
42N. LabaC011+100.003327015:16
94G. PerreaultR011+100.00010—14:56
29M. RobertsonD000+200.01002—14:44
22J. BrodzinskiC022+230.18000013:10
39S. CarrickC000000.050005009:46
73M. RempeC000-100.04200008:01
78B. OthmannL000-120.05110—07:55
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)32293.9062.85-0.1560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).