Capitals at Rangers 1-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Washington Capitals

▸1

New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, MNMT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 1-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 13:47 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were WSH 21, NYR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 3.0 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Lindgren (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G), 3. Jonathan Quick (20 saves, .952).

Three stars

★
C. Lindgren35 saves, 1.000
★★
A. Beauvillier1 G
★★★
J. Quick20 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	09	15	07	121
NYR	013	013	09	035

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

A. Beauvillier(1)
A. Ovechkin (2), D. Chisholm (1)
tip-inxG 0.04win prob +21 ptsVideo
1-0
13:47

Penalties

4 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

15:18Tom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
17:42Anthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min

3rd

3:35J.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYR

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 2nd 13:47 — WSH 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 3.0 xG · 53 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.7 xG · 34 att NYR

0 G · 3.0 xG · 53 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.71 G
All situations: 0 G3.0; 1.81 G
Even strength: 0 G2.5; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

31%69%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

21
Shots on goal: 35; 35%
Faceoffs: 65%; 0/1
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 2; 26
Hits: 18; 18
Blocked shots: 15; 18
Giveaways: 16; 3
Takeaways: 6

Box score

every player line

Washington Capitals skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
74J. CarlsonD	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	2	0	—	22:02
6J. ChychrunD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.17	1	0	0	—	21:23
38R. SandinD	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	2	0	—	21:19
3M. RoyD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	5	0	—	20:29
42M. FehérváryD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	4	0	—	19:45
43T. WilsonR	0	0	0	0	1	0.76	3	1	2	—	19:20
21A. ProtasL	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	—	18:32
26N. DowdC	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	5	0	0	45	16:13
24C. McMichaelL	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	44	15:32
80P. DuboisC	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	21	15:32
17D. StromeC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.27	0	1	0	42	14:49
8A. OvechkinL	0	1	1	+1	3	0.10	4	0	0	—	14:47
72A. BeauvillierR	1	0	1	+1	4	0.49	3	0	2	—	14:44
47D. ChisholmD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	1	1	0	—	14:29
22B. DuhaimeL	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	1	0	—	13:46
9R. LeonardR	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	0	0	0	—	12:14
34J. SourdifC	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	1	0	0	10:57
15S. MilanoL	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	—	10:07

Washington Capitals goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
79C. Lindgren(W)	35	35	0	1.000	2.97	+2.97	60:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

2nd period

2nd

3rd

Box score