Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-4. The Senators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ilya Mikheyev's goal at 18:32 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 25% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were CHI 24, OTT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 34 of 40 (.850), 1.4 goals below expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (1 G, 2 A), 2. David Perron (2 G), 3. Ilya Mikheyev (2 G).
Three stars
- ★T. Stützle1 G, 2 A

- ★★D. Perron2 G

- ★★★I. Mikheyev2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
0-16:36
2nd period
1-11:53
1-28:02
2-29:55
2-314:07
3-318:32
3rd period
3-41:45
3-55:31
4-57:17
4-616:10
Penalties
1st
- 6:36
served by S. Lafferty · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 12:47
Tim Stützle · Roughingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
- 12:47
Matt Grzelcyk · High sticking double minordrawn by Tim Stützle4 min
- 14:36
served by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 19:27
Ryan Greene · Cross checkingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
2nd
- 7:29
served by D. Perron · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 8:53
Nick Jensen · High stickingdrawn by Colton Dach2 min
3rd
- 0:31
Jason Dickinson · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
- 9:25
Artyom Levshunov · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
- 16:32
Ryan Donato · Roughingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
- 16:32
Artem Zub · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
- 16:32
Ryan Donato · Slashingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
- 16:32
Ryan Donato · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ilya Mikheyev, 2nd 18:32 — 25% → 47%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.74 G
- All situations
- 6 G4.5
- 1.03 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.9
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 4.47
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 40
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/6
- 26
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 21
- Hits
- 29
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 15
- Giveaways
- 7
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
3@
7Final
4@
6this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















