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Blackhawks at Senators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV CHSN, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-4. The Senators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ilya Mikheyev's goal at 18:32 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 25% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were CHI 24, OTT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 34 of 40 (.850), 1.4 goals below expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (1 G, 2 A), 2. David Perron (2 G), 3. Ilya Mikheyev (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Perron2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    I. Mikheyev2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0831313424
OTTOTT112210318640

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    deflectedxG 0.38win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:36

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:53
  2. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.29win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:02
  3. CHI
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:55
  4. OTT
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:07
  5. CHI
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:32

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Perron(6)PPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:45
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    5:31
  3. CHI
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-5
    7:17
  4. OTT
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-6
    16:10

Penalties

CHI 26 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:36CHIserved by S. Lafferty · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 12:47OTTTim Stützle · Roughingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
  • 12:47CHIMatt Grzelcyk · High sticking double minordrawn by Tim Stützle4 min
  • 14:36OTTserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:27CHIRyan Greene · Cross checkingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

2nd

  • 7:29OTTserved by D. Perron · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 8:53OTTNick Jensen · High stickingdrawn by Colton Dach2 min

3rd

  • 0:31CHIJason Dickinson · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 9:25CHIArtyom Levshunov · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 16:32CHIRyan Donato · Roughingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 16:32OTTArtem Zub · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 16:32CHIRyan Donato · Slashingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 16:32CHIRyan Donato · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCHI goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Ilya Mikheyev, 2nd 18:32 — CHI 25% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.40B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.38T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.29D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.26C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.16T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.15D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.14F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.10J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.10D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.10F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.10D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.08J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01S. Halliday · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT6 G · 4.5 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsOTT
1.74 G
All situations
6 G4.5
1.03 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI11%89%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 4.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsOTT
24
Shots on goal
40
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
1/6
26
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
29
17
Blocked shots
8
15
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55A. LevshunovD011-420.05132—23:21
20R. GreeneC022-320.113123822:46
86T. TeravainenC000-210.23010019:58
44W. KaiserD011+100.00130—19:51
72A. VlasicD011+110.01000—19:42
5C. MurphyD000-120.02520—18:43
59T. BertuzziL000-410.3212010018:10
95I. MikheyevR202+220.20010—17:58
48M. GrzelcykD000-300.00024—17:48
16J. DickinsonC000+220.071123517:39
46L. CrevierD000+330.08110—16:42
28A. BurakovskyL101-440.29000—16:26
8R. DonatoC011020.04201410015:12
34C. DachC000-110.044004013:49
11O. MooreC011+100.00000012:09
24S. LaffertyC000+100.00100009:28
76N. LardisL101+110.18100—08:13
91F. NazarC000000.00000001:58
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)40346.8504.55-1.4558:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).