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Senators at Blackhawks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV CHSN, TSN5·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Ottawa Senators 7-3. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Bedard's goal at 3:46 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 77% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were OTT 24, CHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 4.3 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Bedard (3 G, 1 A), 2. Nick Foligno (2 A), 3. Louis Crevier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Bedard3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    N. Foligno2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    L. Crevier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT073908324
CHICHI3815313726

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:47
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:06
  3. CHI
    C. Bedard(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:53

2nd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.07win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    2:58
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.02win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:58
  3. OTT
    A. Zub (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-4
    7:09
  4. OTT
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    8:31

3rd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-5
    3:46
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-6
    8:24
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.90Video
    3-7
    12:44

Penalties

OTT 16 PIM·CHI 22 PIM

1st

  • 7:52CHISam Rinzel · Cross checkingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 17:37OTTDavid Perron · Slashingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

2nd

  • 0:24CHISam Rinzel · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 8:31CHIserved by S. Lafferty · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 11:36CHITyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 11:36OTTNick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 11:36CHITyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 11:36OTTTim Stützle · Roughingdrawn by Sam Rinzel2 min
  • 11:36CHISam Rinzel · Roughingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 11:36OTTNick Cousins · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:36CHITyler Bertuzzi · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalOTT goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Bedard, 3rd 3:46 — CHI 77% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Nazar · Goal · xG 0.90T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.37F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.17R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.11C. Dach · Goal · xG 0.10C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.09C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.07C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.07C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.04C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.04F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.04C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.02F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crevier · Goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.00S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.00M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI7 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCHI
2.03 G
All situations
6 G2.6
1.43 G
Even strength
5 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT57%43%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 1.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCHI
24
Shots on goal
26
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
1/1
16
Penalty minutes
22
32
Hits
34
17
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-130.18020—25:03
85J. SandersonD101-120.09040—22:08
12S. PintoC000-110.323006719:08
19D. BathersonR022+120.05100—17:54
2A. ZubD011-100.03300—17:45
18T. StützleC112+110.072026717:14
3N. JensenD000-120.09010—17:08
24D. CozensC000-200.045103816:54
57D. PerronL000-200.00402—16:37
89L. EllerC000-210.290106316:36
28C. GirouxR000-120.102003316:20
71R. GreigC000-130.351007515:19
33N. MatinpaloD011020.08110—15:19
22M. AmadioR101010.10300—15:13
43T. KlevenD000-100.01440—15:03
20F. ZetterlundL000-230.14000—13:30
21N. CousinsC000+110.012212011:44
15O. LycksellR000-300.00110—11:40
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)25196.7601.67-4.3359:09

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).