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Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KING 5·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Seattle Kraken 4-2. The Kraken scored first; the Flames answered. The Kraken led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Coronato's goal at 11:19 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were SEA 23, CGY 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 42 of 45 (.933); Dustin Wolf stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Rasmus Andersson (3 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Coronato (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    R. Andersson3 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Coronato1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0621304223
CGYCGY018114314446

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. SEA
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:52
  2. CGY
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:20
  3. SEA
    K. Kakko(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:16

3rd period

  1. CGY
    N. Kadri(8)PPG
    slapxG 0.09win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:04
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.04win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:19
  3. CGY
    backhandxG 0.93win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:52

Penalties

SEA 10 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:38SEAAdam Larsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:06SEAVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 15:42CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Joey Daccord2 min
  • 18:32SEAChandler Stephenson · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

3rd

  • 6:03SEAEeli Tolvanen · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 8:36SEARyker Evans · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSEA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Coronato, 3rd 11:19 — CGY 52% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.93B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.18M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.17R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.16B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.14Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.10M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.09M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.03C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.03C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.00M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.6 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCGY
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA38%62%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
46
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/1
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24J. OleksiakD000+110.02420—22:06
55R. LindgrenD000+120.17110—21:59
6A. LarssonD000-100.00122—21:36
29V. DunnD000-240.19022—21:33
10M. BeniersC000-110.032005719:37
7J. EberleR000-100.00010—18:00
20E. TolvanenR011-110.04222—17:11
9C. StephensonC101-110.320024216:53
27M. MarchmentL000-100.00000—16:53
89F. GaudreauC011010.040004316:18
28J. MahuraD000-120.14120—15:27
59B. MeyersC000020.461006714:34
41R. EvansD011-100.00012—14:23
51S. WrightC000-110.042001113:04
84K. KakkoR101-120.19000—12:20
38J. NymanR011-110.02010—11:55
63J. MelansonR000020.12700—09:39
12T. KartyeL000020.26300—09:17
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)45423.9332.67-0.3357:47

Season series

SEA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).