Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Seattle Kraken beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Flames scored first; the Kraken answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shane Wright's goal at 1:57 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 4.1 to 3.7; shots on goal were SEA 28, CGY 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 23 of 27 (.852). Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (41 saves, .976), 2. Shane Wright (1 G), 3. Adam Klapka (1 G).
Three stars
- ★P. Grubauer41 saves, .976

- ★★S. Wright1 G

- ★★★A. Klapka1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-16:33
2nd period
1-12:17
3rd period
2-11:57
3-15:12
4-117:25
5-117:39
Penalties
1st
- 9:48
Adam Larsson · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau0 min
- 19:18
Joel Farabee · Holdingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
2nd
- 6:44
Chandler Stephenson · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Shane Wright, 3rd 1:57 — 48% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.14 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.7
- 3.54 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.8
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.9
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 3.64
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 42
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 20
- Hits
- 35
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 16
- Giveaways
- 20
- 2
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
