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Minnesota Wild at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 11:50 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 28, CBJ 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Jet Greaves stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Zach Werenski (2 G), 2. Jesper Wallstedt (27 saves, .931), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0928311528
CBJCBJ15114010229

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    slapxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:20

2nd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:30
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.17win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:15
  3. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:39

3rd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.52win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:50
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.56win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:08
  3. MIN
    M. Boldy(20)EN
    backhandxG 0.85Video
    5-2
    18:46

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:14MINNicolas Aube-Kubel · High stickingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min

2nd

  • 11:53CBJZachary Aston-Reese · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

3rd

  • 19:04MINTyler Pitlick · Trippingdrawn by Denton Mateychuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalMIN goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 3rd 11:50 — MIN 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.18M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.18A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.16B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.15B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.14C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.14A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.08K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.08I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.08D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.08M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.07K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.07B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.07D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01
CBJ2 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCBJ
4.13 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN55%45%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCBJ
28
Shots on goal
29
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
12
19
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000010.03010—32:02
7B. FaberD011040.20010—30:57
97K. KaprizovL123+120.60000—23:44
12M. BoldyL123+231.01020—21:25
46J. SpurgeonD000+110.01020—18:56
14J. Eriksson EkC112+220.671003818:37
26M. KierstedD000+100.00040—17:37
13Y. TreninC022+210.196003317:32
22D. YurovR011+110.191105016:12
91V. TarasenkoR101+130.34200—15:33
38R. HartmanR101030.380103814:44
17M. FolignoL000000.00310—14:32
16N. Aube-KubelR000010.07002—10:39
71C. LambosD000+110.05010—10:16
78N. SturmC000-110.080003810:02
55D.JiricekD000+100.00020—09:04
19T. PitlickC000-120.26212008:10
39B. JonesC000-120.030102507:02
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(W)29272.9312.43+0.4360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).