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Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNOH·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Minnesota Wild 7-4. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Marchenko's goal at 18:48 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.5 to 3.7; shots on goal were CBJ 32, MIN 52. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 48 of 52 (.923); Filip Gustavsson stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Marchenko (3 G), 2. Elvis Merzlikins (48 saves, .923), 3. Matt Boldy (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    K. Marchenko3 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins48 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ19210413732
MINMIN014220218452

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:29

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:07
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.52win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:18
  3. MIN
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:24
  4. CBJ
    wristxG 0.19win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:48

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    slapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    1:11
  2. CBJ
    slapxG 0.13win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-2
    3:01
  3. MIN
    Z. Buium(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    9:54
  4. CBJ
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +4 ptsVideo
    6-3
    10:47
  5. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-4
    15:49
  6. CBJ
    wristxG 0.72Video
    7-4
    18:34

Penalties

CBJ 16 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:05CBJDmitri Voronkov · Slashingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 10:50CBJMiles Wood · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:45CBJErik Gudbranson · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 6:18CBJserved by K. Johnson · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 7:47CBJErik Gudbranson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:37MINJake Middleton · Holding the stickdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min

3rd

  • 1:35MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
  • 2:13MINJake Middleton · Hookingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 6:13CBJKirill Marchenko · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 9:11CBJserved by K. Johnson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:04CBJDmitri Voronkov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCBJ goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Kirill Marchenko, 2nd 18:48 — CBJ 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.52Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.30R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.26M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.20Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Buium · Goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.16V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Buium · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Buium · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.01L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.00J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 4.5 xG · 69 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsMIN
3.76 G
All situations
4 G4.5
1.65 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
1.41 G
Power play
4 G2.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 113 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ28%72%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 4.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsMIN
32
Shots on goal
52
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/3
Power play
4/8
16
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD011+310.01050—27:12
8Z. WerenskiD123+470.40110—25:20
15D. FabbroD000+100.00020—20:13
23S. MonahanC000+360.801005619:11
86K. MarchenkoR303+240.46112—18:10
78D. SeversonD000+310.13010—17:49
3C. CoyleC011+110.172006016:39
5D. MateychukD000010.10010—15:21
38B. JennerC123+320.7701010015:11
10D. VoronkovL022+210.01214—15:01
19A. FantilliC112+210.190008614:20
4C. SillingerC011+200.001007514:07
27Z. Aston-ReeseL011+110.015003313:27
21I. LundestromC000+100.000106412:02
44E. GudbransonD000+100.00114—11:29
91K. JohnsonC000020.19000011:18
11M. WoodL101+120.22102—11:11
24M. OlivierR000020.27110—10:21
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(W)52484.9234.48+0.4860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).