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Maple Leafs at Capitals
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
0
Washington Capitals
▸4
FinalTV MNMT, SNO·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 16:16 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.6 to 2.4; shots on goal were TOR 22, WSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Dennis Hildeby stopped 25 of 29 (.862); Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (2 G), 2. John Carlson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Logan Thompson (22 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Chychrun2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson22 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0408010022
WSHWSH2801328429

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Protas(11)
    J. Sourdif (5), J. Carlson (19)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:53
  2. WSH
    J. Chychrun(13)
    E. Frank (7), C. McMichael (13)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:16

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Chychrun(14)
    J. Carlson (20), N. Dowd (5)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:02
  2. WSH
    J. Carlson(7)
    J. Sourdif (6), T. Wilson (16)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    8:57

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:45WSHAliaksei Protas · High stickingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min
  • 4:04TORScott Laughton · Slashingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min
  • 6:23TORBobby McMann · High stickingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 9:22WSHMartin Fehérváry · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 17:44WSHRasmus Sandin · Hookingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min

2nd

  • 11:42WSHDylan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 16:19TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min

3rd

  • 4:22WSHAliaksei Protas · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalTOR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, 1st 16:16 — WSH 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.33S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.27A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.20S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.17A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.15T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.14C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.13T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.07C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04B. Trineyev · Missed · xG 0.04C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.04D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.03R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00B. Trineyev · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 3.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsWSH
2.40 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.50 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.90 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR32%68%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 3.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsWSH
22
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
13
13
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD000000.00140—20:56
23M. KniesL000-100.00100—20:35
28T. StecherD000010.05210—20:01
44M. RiellyD000-320.02010—19:48
34A. MatthewsC000-320.141007319:45
55N. RoyC000020.400005417:50
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000-400.04302—17:07
88W. NylanderR000-210.07010—16:51
53E. CowanR000-200.24000—16:19
91J. TavaresC000040.640006416:18
2S. BenoitD000000.00620—16:18
3H. ThrunD000-110.00220—15:27
89N. RobertsonL000060.61400—15:21
24S. LaughtonC000-110.121022513:14
11M. DomiC000-100.0000010012:40
18S. LorentzC000-110.0242010012:31
74B. McMannC000-110.04002012:29
81D. JoshuaC000000.00200010:30
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Hildeby(L)29254.8623.56-0.4460:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).