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Hurricanes at Predators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV FDSNSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 2:43 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 76% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 37, NSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 2. Pyotr Kochetkov (25 saves, .962), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR1190939437
NSHNSH0506115126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(9)
    L. Stankoven (9), A. Nikishin (9)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:00

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(10)PPG
    J. Blake (12), A. Svechnikov (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:43
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(19)
    S. Aho (18), N. Ehlers (15)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:33
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(15)
    R. O'Reilly (17), S. Stamkos (5)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:06
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(11)EN
    A. Svechnikov (13)
    wristxG 0.61Video
    4-1
    19:15

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:28NSHBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 14:09CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Nick Blankenburg2 min

2nd

  • 5:20NSHSteven Stamkos · High stickingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 7:01CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Nick Perbix2 min
  • 10:25CARTaylor Hall · Holdingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 13:54NSHRyan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 1:24NSHNick Perbix · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCAR goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 3rd 2:43 — CAR 76% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.52E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.27F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.08F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.07F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNSH
4.43 G
All situations
1 G2.1
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR71%29%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNSH
37
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24S. JarvisR101+140.38200—21:41
26S. WalkerD000+120.07030—21:03
5J. ChatfieldD000020.02020—20:40
20S. AhoC213+140.980124720:20
19K. MillerD000+100.00120—19:34
4S. GostisbehereD000-110.04000—19:11
11J. StaalC000020.222005817:36
37A. SvechnikovR022030.42200—17:31
74J. SlavinD000+210.00010—16:47
53J. BlakeR112+140.56000—16:28
21A. NikishinD011+130.23020—16:23
27N. EhlersL011+210.20010—15:30
50E. RobinsonL000050.36000—15:03
22L. StankovenC011+120.591204613:45
71T. HallL000010.07102—12:49
28W. CarrierL000000.00100—12:39
77M. JankowskiL000020.270004311:19
48J. MartinookL000000.00102—05:44
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)26251.9622.13+1.1359:57

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).