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Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, MNMT·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Washington Capitals 5-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 12:51 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 76% to 88%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.8, MIN 2.8; shots on goal were WSH 25, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.2 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G, 1 A), 2. Filip Gustavsson (25 saves, 1.000), 3. Danila Yurov (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    V. Tarasenko2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson25 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    D. Yurov1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0110905025
MINMIN1911538532

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    D. Yurov (6), B. Faber (12)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:09

2nd period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:51

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:23
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.21win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    8:53
  3. MIN
    M. Boldy(19)SHG
    wristxG 0.11Video
    0-5
    14:12

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:39MINDanila Yurov · Hookingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min
  • 17:55WSHRasmus Sandin · Holdingdrawn by Danila Yurov2 min

2nd

  • 11:53WSHMartin Fehérváry · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 17:23WSHJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

3rd

  • 12:44MINDavid Jiricek · Hookingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min
  • 15:22WSHAliaksei Protas · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWSH goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 2nd 12:51 — MIN 76% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Yurov · Goal · xG 0.21K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.20T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.13D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.13M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.07B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kiersted · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kiersted · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kiersted · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsMIN
2.80 G
All situations
5 G2.8
2.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH49%51%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
22
8
Blocked shots
21
9
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-210.08000—22:10
6J. ChychrunD000040.22212—21:18
3M. RoyD000-110.08210—21:07
38R. SandinD000-310.07212—17:57
24C. McMichaelL000-210.050004017:40
42M. FehérváryD000010.03012—17:29
21A. ProtasL000-110.0000210017:22
34J. SourdifC000010.020105017:17
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.01000—16:49
43T. WilsonR000-140.35200—16:25
17D. StromeC000-120.240206915:17
8A. OvechkinL000-200.45300—15:12
22B. DuhaimeL000-110.04500—14:31
26N. DowdC000-110.131104014:10
53E. FrankR000020.58000—13:14
72A. BeauvillierR000-330.17100—12:35
15S. MilanoL000-100.00000—11:56
29H. LapierreC000010.230001410:33
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)32275.8442.79-2.2160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).