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Wild at Capitals
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Washington Capitals
▸5
FinalTV FDSNNO, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Minnesota Wild 5-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aliaksei Protas's goal at 17:18 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were MIN 14, WSH 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 40 of 45 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 13 of 14 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (2 G, 2 A), 2. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Martin Fehérváry (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Strome2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Fehérváry2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN031407114
WSHWSH113111321545

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(1)
    A. Ovechkin (3), M. Fehérváry (1)
    deflectedxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:52

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Johansson(1)
    M. Boldy (5), J. Middleton (1)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:47
  2. WSH
    A. Protas(4)
    T. Wilson (4), R. Sandin (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:18

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(1)
    D. Strome (3)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:19
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(2)
    A. Beauvillier (1), M. Fehérváry (2)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    11:32
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson(3)PPG
    J. Carlson (3), D. Strome (4)
    deflectedxG 0.08Video
    1-5
    18:03

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:51WSHConnor McMichael · Holdingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

2nd

  • 0:53MINJake Middleton · High sticking double minordrawn by Justin Sourdif4 min
  • 10:05MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

3rd

  • 5:23MINZeev Buium · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 8:50WSHConnor McMichael · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 17:45MINMatt Boldy · Slashingdrawn by Declan Chisholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalMIN goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Aliaksei Protas, 2nd 17:18 — WSH 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.38D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.29A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.27A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.23D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.18J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.17S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.15T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.14N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.14M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.14S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.13A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.12B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.11A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.10A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.09S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.06S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.05R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.04M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.04R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.04D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 4.3 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWSH
1.71 G
All situations
5 G4.3
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G3.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN13%87%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 4.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWSH
14
Shots on goal
45
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
20
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-310.01020—24:12
25J. BrodinD000-100.02030—21:47
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.05120—21:00
8Z. BuiumD000-110.05012—20:15
97K. KaprizovL000-110.12000—18:59
12M. BoldyL011+120.201025018:16
23M. RossiC000+100.470005017:24
14J. Eriksson EkC000030.112405216:51
38R. HartmanR000-210.080105516:46
5J. MiddletonD011000.02114—16:41
90M. JohanssonL101+110.0800010016:03
13Y. TreninC000-200.007002515:28
91V. TarasenkoR000010.09010—14:18
17M. FolignoL000-200.00202—13:08
24Z. BogosianD000000.00220—12:08
22D. YurovR000-210.121004009:51
18V. HinostrozaC000-100.17000009:36
28L. OhgrenL000-210.07100—09:06
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)45405.8894.27-0.7359:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).