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Blackhawks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
FinalTV CHSN, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2. The Maple Leafs came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dakota Joshua's goal at 16:59 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were CHI 25, TOR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.9 goals below expected; Joseph Woll stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dakota Joshua (1 G), 3. William Nylander (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    D. Joshua1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI2100609225
TORTOR0708312327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    W. Kaiser(3)
    D. Toninato (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:21
  2. CHI
    J. Dickinson(3)SHG
    I. Mikheyev (4), L. Crevier (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:58

3rd period

  1. TOR
    O. Ekman-Larsson(6)
    A. Matthews (9), W. Nylander (24)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:59
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(14)PPG
    W. Nylander (25)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:51
  3. TOR
    D. Joshua(6)
    T. Stecher (5), J. McCabe (11)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:59

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:28CHIConnor Murphy · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

2nd

  • 6:35TORDakota Joshua · High stickingdrawn by Dominic Toninato2 min
  • 18:44CHIAlex Vlasic · Interferencedrawn by Nick Robertson2 min

3rd

  • 16:21CHIDominic Toninato · Holding the stickdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalCHI goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Dakota Joshua, 3rd 16:59 — TOR 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.17D. Joshua · Goal · xG 0.14M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.13S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.13J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.11M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.10M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.10N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.05B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.05T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.04E. Cowan · Missed · xG 0.04S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.04E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.03B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.03D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.00W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.00E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsTOR
1.62 G
All situations
3 G2.1
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI40%60%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsTOR
25
Shots on goal
27
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44W. KaiserD101+130.11000—22:39
48M. GrzelcykD000+100.02100—22:17
59T. BertuzziL000-110.26000—20:38
46L. CrevierD011-120.01010—19:51
91F. NazarC000-130.200004519:32
72A. VlasicD000-100.00002—19:11
28A. BurakovskyL000-110.01000—18:45
95I. MikheyevR011040.22100—18:07
5C. MurphyD000000.00142—17:45
16J. DickinsonC101020.201104117:41
86T. TeravainenC000-120.33040016:40
38E. Del MastroD000020.04010—15:07
20R. GreeneC000000.073006313:30
76N. LardisL000010.08100—12:32
34C. DachC000+110.02200010:57
8R. DonatoC000+100.00100010:54
11O. MooreC000020.07110010:53
25D. ToninatoC011+110.003025009:32
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(L)27243.8892.11-0.8958:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).