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Maple Leafs at Blackhawks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Chicago Blackhawks
▸3
FinalTV CHSN, SN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Dach's goal at 15:35 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were TOR 33, CHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Spencer Knight stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Colton Dach (1 G), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G), 3. Artyom Levshunov (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Dach1 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    T. Teravainen1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. Levshunov1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR11415014233
CHICHI110011211332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    R. Greene(2)
    A. Levshunov (10), W. Kaiser (3)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:05
  2. TOR
    N. Robertson(5)
    J. Tavares (13)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:12

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(3)
    O. Ekman-Larsson (11), W. Nylander (18)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:37

3rd period

  1. CHI
    T. Teravainen(4)
    F. Nazar (7), O. Moore (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:12
  2. CHI
    C. Dach(2)
    L. Crevier (7), I. Mikheyev (3)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +39 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:35

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

2nd

  • 2:53CHIRyan Donato · Trippingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 9:37CHIserved by S. Lafferty · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 14:27TOREaston Cowan · Slashingdrawn by Alex Vlasic2 min

3rd

  • 0:44CHIConnor Bedard · Trippingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 7:18TOREaston Cowan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalTOR goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Colton Dach, 3rd 15:35 — CHI 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.50C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.31T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.16T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.15F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.14L. Slaggert · Missed · xG 0.14R. Greene · Goal · xG 0.13A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.13R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.12A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.09F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.08C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.08C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.08O. Moore · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.06O. Moore · Missed · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.05N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.04W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.04C. Dach · Goal · xG 0.04L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.04A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04O. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.03W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.03A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.03I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.02W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.02N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01O. Moore · Missed · xG 0.00W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 3.5 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsCHI
3.22 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR54%46%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsCHI
33
Shots on goal
32
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
15
5
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
20
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
95O. Ekman-LarssonD011050.09010—26:41
44M. RiellyD101040.24000—25:21
22J. McCabeD000-210.03220—24:55
88W. NylanderR011000.21000—21:41
23M. KniesL000000.22400—20:12
91J. TavaresC011030.152007520:05
55N. RoyC000050.471005819:45
2S. BenoitD000+100.00510—19:28
89N. RobertsonL101040.42200—18:22
53E. CowanR000030.72004—16:37
11M. DomiC000-100.000007112:17
81D. JoshuaC000020.33500011:55
63M. MaccelliL000-100.0000010011:16
18S. LorentzC000000.011006710:55
74B. McMannC000-130.14000010:35
19C. JarnkrokC000020.13300010:12
51P. MyersD000-200.02210—08:47
36D. MermisD000+110.01100—08:20
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(L)32293.9062.98-0.0258:36

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).