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Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV NHLN, Victory+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Ducks scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Cotter's goal at 5:52 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 31, NJD 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 18 of 21 (.857); Jake Allen stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (30 saves, .968), 2. Stefan Noesen (1 G), 3. Juho Lammikko (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Allen30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    NJD
    S. Noesen1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Lammikko2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA16011014131
NJDNJD192815422

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:18
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:09

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:52
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:04

3rd period

  1. NJD
    backhandxG 0.94Video
    1-4
    18:00

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:22NJDDougie Hamilton · High stickingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min

2nd

  • 0:18NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Hookingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 6:16ANARyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 7:31ANAAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
  • 12:10NJDserved by P. Cotter · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalANA goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Paul Cotter, 2nd 5:52 — NJD 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.94O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.37S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.24C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.20D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.18C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.17O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.17S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.17D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.14C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.13J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.11C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.09O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.09D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.08D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.07C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06P. Cotter · Goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Lammikko · Missed · xG 0.04O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02C. White · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.00L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 4.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNJD
2.31 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA43%57%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNJD
31
Shots on goal
22
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
17
21
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000-110.12340—24:33
91L. CarlssonC011020.100001522:53
20C. KreiderL000020.20100—21:03
74I. MooreD000020.19030—20:26
65J. TroubaD000030.06210—19:41
64M. GranlundC000-200.000004518:52
19T. TerryR101060.66010—18:36
51O. ZellwegerD000-110.16240—17:49
45B. SenneckeR000-450.30100—17:18
14D. HellesonD000-100.01130—16:50
17A. KillornL000010.081224014:19
61C. GauthierL000-210.1000010014:19
25R. PoehlingC000010.060103313:39
44R. JohnstonL000030.20200—12:47
16R. StromeC000000.001025512:12
7R. GudasD000-200.00200—11:51
23M. McTavishC000-310.020104311:37
77F. VatranoR000020.09110—09:25
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)21183.8572.78-0.2257:50

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).