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New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV Victory+, MSGSN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 14:24 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were NJD 33, ANA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Lukas Dostal stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lukas Dostal (32 saves, .970), 2. Beckett Sennecke (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cutter Gauthier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Dostal32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    ANA
    B. Sennecke1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01407112133
ANAANA2919111429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:13
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:24

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:54

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.21win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:43
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.92Video
    1-4
    18:06

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:10ANABeckett Sennecke · Holdingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 14:48NJDLuke Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min

3rd

  • 5:34NJDDawson Mercer · Roughingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNJD goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, 1st 14:24 — ANA 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.92L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.28R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.23B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.20N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.20B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.18F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.18R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.16B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.15B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.11M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.07I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.02R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 4.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsANA
2.81 G
All situations
3 G4.2
2.41 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD41%59%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsANA
33
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC101020.350004224:07
7D. HamiltonD000+130.03100—21:53
43L. HughesD000-220.15012—20:57
5B. DillonD000-120.05150—20:17
63J. BrattL000-120.40100—19:54
71J. SiegenthalerD000-120.03210—19:43
13N. HischierC000-310.180206017:22
44D. CholowskiD000-110.05040—17:19
81A. GritsyukR000-140.17000—17:04
28T. MeierR011-370.96300—16:55
17S. NemecD000-110.01120—16:41
91D. MercerC011-210.06002016:35
11S. NoesenR000-110.231203315:21
18O. PalatL000020.0430010013:07
47P. CotterL000000.00100—12:25
83J. LammikkoC000010.081102911:22
14L. GlendeningC000010.010007009:04
48B. HalonenL000000.00010—07:32
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)28253.8933.30+0.3058:22

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).