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Avalanche at Rangers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
New York Rangers
2
Final/OTTV ALT, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Nathan MacKinnon scoring at 2:46. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 2:46 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 42, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Igor Shesterkin stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G), 2. Igor Shesterkin (39 saves, .929), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin39 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL0911311911342
NYRNYR011082800227

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    P. Kelly(6)
    S. Malinski (13), M. Necas (22)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:06

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Sheary(1)
    V. Trocheck (9), J. Miller (11)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +27 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:23
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(23)
    M. Necas (23), J. Manson (4)
    batxG 0.16win prob +41 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:26
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin(10)
    M. Zibanejad (12), A. Lafrenière (9)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:18

Overtime

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(24)
    C. Makar (25), M. Necas (24)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:46

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:26COLCale Makar · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Miller2 min

2nd

  • 3:31NYRJonny Brodzinski · Holdingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min

3rd

  • 5:49NYRMatthew Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 10:20COLValeri Nichushkin · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCOL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, OT 2:46 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.18V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.18W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.16C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.06M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03S. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02N. Laba · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.02M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.00V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 1.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsNYR
4.03 G
All situations
2 G1.9
3.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL77%23%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsNYR
42
Shots on goal
27
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
21
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011-170.57022—27:40
7D. ToewsD000-200.24010—26:17
29N. MacKinnonC202+370.661003224:56
62A. LehkonenL000020.14100—22:43
88M. NecasC033+230.19010022:12
84B. BurnsD000+130.08100—19:33
13V. NichushkinR000-120.12102—18:09
11B. NelsonC000-120.041104418:02
42J. MansonD011+110.02520—17:00
92G. LandeskogL000071.100007515:16
70S. MalinskiD011+100.00220—14:54
49S. GirardD000+100.01000—13:32
18J. DruryC000000.000105813:14
20R. ColtonC000-140.20200012:22
95V. OlofssonL000000.00010—11:05
94J. KivirantaL000-100.00410—10:37
17P. KellyC101+130.55210010:20
93Z. BardakovC000010.031003306:26
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)27252.9261.92-0.0862:46

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).